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NM-cupen

Arendal

S T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Jerv

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arendal Jerv

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

5,0

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — NM-cupen · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

8,0

3,0

Scored

8,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+8,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Arendal 2. · Jerv 27. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sotra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Alta	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	Odd	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Junkeren	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Brann	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	hodd	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Viking	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Sandnes ULF	2	1	0	1	+4	3
13	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Mjondalen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Molde	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Fjøra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Ørn Horten	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Stabaek	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Aalesund	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Raufoss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Frigg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Ranheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Grorud	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Mjølner	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Vard	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Sogndal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Bryne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Stord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Halsen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Notodden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Start	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Melhus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Skeid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Fana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Asane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Vidar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Gjelleråsen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Haugesund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Kvik Halden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Moss	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Lyn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Byåsen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Lysekloster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Ull/Kisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Eidsvold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Strommen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Sandefjord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Kjelsås	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Træff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Loddefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Herd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Kråkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Os	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Heming	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Fram	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Holmlia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Tomrefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Mandalskameratene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Drammens BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Floro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Flint	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Eid	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Skedsmo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Innstranden	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
121	Frøya	1	0	0	1	-5	0
122	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
124	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-5	0
125	Urædd	1	0	0	1	-6	0
126	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-7	0
127	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
128	Hammerfest IF Stein	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alta	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Junkeren	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Fjøra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Frigg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Mjølner	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Vard	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Stord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Halsen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Melhus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Gjelleråsen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Lysekloster	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Lokomotiv Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Eidsvold	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Follo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Loddefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Herd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Staal Jørpeland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Kråkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Heming	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Lillehammer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Fyllingsdalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Rosseland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Holmlia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Tomrefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Hønefoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Verdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Skjetten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Mandalskameratene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Drammens BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Flint	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Åssiden IF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Eid	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Skedsmo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Djerv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Orkla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Frøya	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	Urædd	1	0	0	1	-6	0
64	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
65	Hammerfest IF Stein	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arendal	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Odd	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Levanger	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Brann	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	hodd	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Viking	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Sandnes ULF	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Mjondalen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Molde	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Ørn Horten	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Stabaek	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Aalesund	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Raufoss	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Ranheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Grorud	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Kongsvinger	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Sotra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sogndal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Bryne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Notodden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Start	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Skeid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Fana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Asane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Vidar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Haugesund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Kvik Halden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Moss	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Lyn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Byåsen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Ull/Kisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Strommen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Sandefjord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Kjelsås	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Træff	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Os	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Harstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Egersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Fram	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Kolstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Floro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Innstranden	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.