Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Arka Gdynia
Cracovia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | +20 | 38 |
| 2 |
Cracovia
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +13 | 36 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 35 |
| 4 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | +6 | 34 |
| 5 |
Lech Poznan
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +13 | 31 |
| 6 |
Piast Gliwice
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 31 |
| 7 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +1 | 30 |
| 8 |
Wisla Plock
|
20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +5 | 29 |
| 10 |
Zaglebie
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +3 | 28 |
| 11 |
Rakow
|
20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 |
Arka Gdynia
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -11 | 21 |
| 14 |
Korona Kielce
|
20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 |
Wisla
|
20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | -13 | 17 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | -17 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.