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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Ipswich
S S U T U
0–0
Full-time
QPR
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 44%
67%
21%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
63%
42%
Both score Ø 53%
63%
42%
Average goals
3,4
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,46 xG 0,39
54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 2. · QPR 22.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 24 19 2 3 +31 +20.6 59
2 Ipswich 24 16 5 3 +15 +11.1 53
3 Southampton 24 14 6 4 +14 +16.0 48
4 Leeds 23 12 6 5 +17 +18.9 42
5 West Brom 23 11 6 6 +13 +3.5 39
6 Sunderland 24 11 3 10 +6 +14.2 36
7 Hull 24 10 6 8 +5 +6.4 36
8 Bristol City 24 10 5 9 +3 +1.9 35
9 Preston 24 10 5 9 -10 -10.3 35
10 Watford 24 9 7 8 +6 +3.6 34
11 Norwich 23 10 4 9 +2 -2.7 34
12 Cardiff 24 10 4 10 +2 -7.1 34
13 Coventry 24 8 9 7 +8 +4.2 33
14 Middlesbrough 24 10 3 11 +0 +12.0 33
15 Blackburn 24 10 1 13 -8 -2.8 31
16 Plymouth 25 7 7 11 -2 -12.8 28
17 Swansea 24 7 7 10 -5 -7.4 28
18 Stoke 24 7 6 11 -7 -1.7 27
19 Birmingham 24 7 6 11 -8 -3.4 27
20 Millwall 24 6 8 10 -5 -7.2 26
21 Huddersfield 24 5 10 9 -14 -12.9 25
22 QPR 24 5 5 14 -15 -10.6 20
23 Sheffield Weds 24 4 4 16 -22 -4.8 16
24 Rotherham 24 3 7 14 -26 -28.7 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich QPR
Conor Chaplin 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 P. Smyth
↦ C. Willock
Luke Woolfenden 🟨
52′
K. Jackson 🔁
↦ F. Ladapo
63′
H. Clarke 🔁
↦ B. Williams
63′
J. Taylor 🔁
↦ D. Ball
64′
64′
🔁 L. Dykes
↦ E. Dixon-Bonner
71′
🔁 J. Dunne
↦ S. Cook
77′
🔁 Z. Larkeche
↦ I. Chair
78′
🔁 R. Kolli
↦ S. Armstrong
83′
🟨 Asmir Begović
Marcus Harness 🟨
86′
G. Buabo 🔁
↦ M. Harness
87′
S. Aluko 🔁
↦ O. Hutchinson
87′
90′
🟨 Ziyad Larkeche
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
31 V. Hladký G
18 B. Williams D
6 L. Woolfenden D
15 C. Burgess D
30 C. Humphreys D
12 D. Ball M
25 M. Luongo M
20 O. Hutchinson M
10 C. Chaplin M
11 M. Harness M
9 F. Ladapo F
Bench (9)
19 K. Jackson
2 H. Clarke
14 J. Taylor
51 G. Buabo
23 S. Aluko
40 A. Tuanzebe
4 G. Edmundson
1 C. Walton
26 E. Baggott

Coach: K. McKenna

QPR

4-2-3-1
1 A. Begović G
20 R. Cannon D
5 S. Cook D
6 J. Clarke-Salter D
22 K. Paal D
17 A. Dozzell M
8 S. Field M
19 E. Dixon-Bonner M
7 C. Willock M
10 I. Chair M
30 S. Armstrong F
Bench (9)
11 P. Smyth
9 L. Dykes
3 J. Dunne
21 Z. Larkeche
38 R. Kolli
13 J. Archer
37 A. Adomah
29 A. Drewe
2 O. Kakay

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,46
U ✓
4,56
B
6,72
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.