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Championship
Referee: T Harrington
Rotherham
T T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Sunderland
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 30%
13%
46%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,71 xG 0,30
31% Possession 69%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 24. · Sunderland 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 24 19 2 3 +31 +20.6 59
2 Ipswich 24 16 5 3 +15 +11.1 53
3 Southampton 24 14 6 4 +14 +16.0 48
4 Leeds 23 12 6 5 +17 +18.9 42
5 West Brom 23 11 6 6 +13 +3.5 39
6 Sunderland 24 11 3 10 +6 +14.2 36
7 Hull 24 10 6 8 +5 +6.4 36
8 Bristol City 24 10 5 9 +3 +1.9 35
9 Preston 24 10 5 9 -10 -10.3 35
10 Watford 24 9 7 8 +6 +3.6 34
11 Norwich 23 10 4 9 +2 -2.7 34
12 Cardiff 24 10 4 10 +2 -7.1 34
13 Coventry 24 8 9 7 +8 +4.2 33
14 Middlesbrough 24 10 3 11 +0 +12.0 33
15 Blackburn 24 10 1 13 -8 -2.8 31
16 Plymouth 25 7 7 11 -2 -12.8 28
17 Swansea 24 7 7 10 -5 -7.4 28
18 Stoke 24 7 6 11 -7 -1.7 27
19 Birmingham 24 7 6 11 -8 -3.4 27
20 Millwall 24 6 8 10 -5 -7.2 26
21 Huddersfield 24 5 10 9 -14 -12.9 25
22 QPR 24 5 5 14 -15 -10.6 20
23 Sheffield Weds 24 4 4 16 -22 -4.8 16
24 Rotherham 24 3 7 14 -26 -28.7 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Sunderland
15′
🔁 A. Ba
↦ P. Roberts
40′
🟨 Jobe Bellingham
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Burstow
↦ A. Aouchiche
1–0 S. Clucas
48′
63′
🔁 T. Pembélé
↦ J. Seelt
64′
🔁 A. Pritchard
↦ P. Ekwah
Sam Nombe 🟨
65′
Cafú 🔁
↦ S. Clucas
68′
73′
J. Clarke 1–1
G. Kelly 🔁
↦ S. Nombe
78′
A. Appiah 🔁
↦ D. Lembikisa
78′
T. Eaves 🔁
↦ J. Hugill
78′
Cafú 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rotherham

5-3-2
1 V. Johansson G
2 D. Lembikisa D
22 H. Odoffin D
23 S. Morrison D
28 S. Revan D
3 C. Bramall D
16 J. Lindsay M
27 C. Tiéhi M
8 S. Clucas M
10 J. Hugill F
29 S. Nombe F
Bench (6)
7 Cafú
12 G. Kelly
30 A. Appiah
9 T. Eaves
26 D. Phillips
35 C. McGuckin

Coach: L. Richardson

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 A. Patterson G
23 J. Seelt D
13 L. O'Nien D
5 D. Ballard D
32 T. Hume D
39 P. Ekwah M
24 D. Neil M
10 P. Roberts M
7 J. Bellingham M
20 J. Clarke M
22 A. Aouchiche F
Bench (9)
17 A. Ba
11 M. Burstow
6 T. Pembélé
21 A. Pritchard
25 N. Triantis
15 N. Rusyn
42 A. Alese
30 N. Bishop
19 J. Bennette

Coach: M. Beale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,13
U ✓
4,18
B
1,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.