Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hammarby
Halmstad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Malmo FF
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 2 |
Djurgarden
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 3 |
Norrkoping
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 |
Degerfors
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |
AIK
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |
Kalmar
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |
Elfsborg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Hammarby
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Mjallby
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |
Goteborg
|
8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |
Hacken
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |
Halmstad
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 |
Sirius
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Ostersunds | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 |
Varberg
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Orebro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Kalmar
Hammarby
Hammarby
Djurgarden
Varberg
Hammarby
Hammarby
Sirius
Hammarby
Hacken
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.