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Allsvenskan

Norrkoping

S S U T T

3–2

Full-time

Malmo FF

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norrkoping Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 53%

38%

67%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

38%

78%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,1

3,4

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Norrkoping 6. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	6	2	1	+5	20
2	Djurgarden	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	AIK	8	4	2	2	+2	14
4	Elfsborg	9	4	1	4	+1	13
5	Kalmar	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Norrkoping	8	3	2	3	+3	11
7	Degerfors	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Hammarby	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	-1	10
10	Goteborg	8	1	6	1	+1	9
11	Halmstad	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Sirius	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Ostersunds	8	2	2	4	+3	8
14	Varberg	8	2	1	5	-7	7
15	Orebro	8	2	1	5	-11	7
16	Hacken	8	1	3	4	-2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	AIK	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Djurgarden	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Hammarby	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Norrkoping	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Kalmar	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Elfsborg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Ostersunds	4	2	0	2	+6	6
10	Degerfors	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	Halmstad	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Goteborg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Sirius	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Orebro	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Hacken	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Varberg	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	7
2	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+0	7
3	Elfsborg	4	2	0	2	+2	6
4	Kalmar	4	1	2	1	-1	5
5	Degerfors	5	1	2	2	-2	5
6	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-3	5
7	Goteborg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
8	Varberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Norrkoping	4	1	0	3	+0	3
10	Hacken	4	0	3	1	-1	3
11	Hammarby	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Halmstad	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	AIK	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Orebro	4	1	0	3	-8	3
15	Mjallby	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Ostersunds	4	0	2	2	-3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.