Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Brondby
Midtjylland
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Midtjylland
|
34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | +33 | 81 |
| 2 |
Aarhus
|
35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | +18 | 64 |
| 3 |
FC Copenhagen
|
34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | +14 | 62 |
| 4 |
Brondby
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +13 | 52 |
| 5 |
Aalborg
|
34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |
Randers FC
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +5 | 48 |
| 7 |
Nordsjaelland
|
35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |
Odense
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Horsens
|
32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | -14 | 46 |
| 10 |
Sonderjyske
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -12 | 38 |
| 11 |
Lyngby
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -19 | 38 |
| 12 |
Hobro
|
34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | -14 | 31 |
| 13 |
Silkeborg
|
32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -16 | 26 |
| 14 |
Esbjerg
|
32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -26 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brondby
Aalborg
FC Copenhagen
Brondby
Brondby
Nordsjaelland
Aalborg
Brondby
Nordsjaelland
Brondby
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.