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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Bristol City
T S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Preston
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Championship · 45/45 matches
Win Ø 39%
38%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
56%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
58%
51%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 11. · Preston 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 45 27 9 9 +38 90
2 West Brom 45 22 16 7 +32 82
3 Fulham 42 22 10 10 +15 76
4 Brentford 42 21 9 12 +37 72
5 Nott'm Forest 45 18 16 11 +11 70
6 Cardiff 43 18 15 10 +9 69
7 Swansea 43 17 16 10 +11 67
8 Preston 45 18 11 16 +5 65
9 Millwall 45 16 17 12 +3 65
10 Blackburn 45 17 12 16 +4 63
11 Bristol City 45 17 11 17 -5 62
12 Derby 45 16 13 16 -4 61
13 Wigan 45 15 13 17 +1 58
14 QPR 45 16 9 20 -9 57
15 Reading 45 15 11 19 +4 56
16 Sheffield Weds 45 15 11 19 -7 56
17 Stoke 45 15 8 22 -9 53
18 Huddersfield 45 13 12 20 -15 51
19 Middlesbrough 45 12 14 19 -14 50
20 Birmingham 45 12 14 19 -19 50
21 Charlton 45 12 12 21 -11 48
22 Luton 45 13 9 23 -29 48
23 Barnsley 45 11 13 21 -21 46
24 Hull 45 12 9 24 -27 45

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Preston
16′
S. Maguire 0–1
D. Johnson
Half-time 1–1
1–1 F. Diedhiou
48′
F. Benković 🔁
↦ Pedro Pereira
64′
64′
🔁 A. Browne
↦ R. Ledson
64′
🔁 T. Barkhuizen
↦ J. Harrop
K. Palmer 🔁
↦ N. Wells
72′
73′
🔁 J. Stockley
↦ S. Maguire
75′
🔁 T. Bayliss
↦ P. Gallagher
B. Afobe 🔁
↦ J. Paterson
81′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

3-5-2
1 D. Bentley G
29 A. Williams D
22 T. Kalas D
3 J. Dasilva M
32 Pedro Pereira M
26 Z. Vyner D
4 Á. Nagy M
14 A. Weimann M
20 J. Paterson M
21 N. Wells F
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (9)
31 F. Benković
45 K. Palmer
40 B. Afobe
15 M. Watkins
25 T. Rowe
11 C. O'Dowda
19 N. Eliasson
42 H. Massengo
38 J. Wollacott

Coach: D. Holden

Preston

4-2-3-1
1 D. Rudd G
16 A. Hughes D
21 P. Bauer D
15 J. Rafferty D
14 J. Storey D
12 P. Gallagher M
11 D. Johnson M
44 B. Potts M
10 J. Harrop M
18 R. Ledson M
24 S. Maguire F
Bench (9)
8 A. Browne
29 T. Barkhuizen
20 J. Stockley
7 T. Bayliss
28 M. Hudson
31 S. Sinclair
39 B. Bodin
2 D. Fisher
23 P. Huntington

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U ✓
3,29
B
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.