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LaLiga2

Referee: José Guzmán

Alaves

S U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Villarreal B

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Villarreal B

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,2

1,5

Scored

0,8

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

38%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Alaves 1. · Villarreal B 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alaves	16	8	7	1	+6	31
2	Burgos	16	8	6	2	+9	30
3	Las Palmas	16	7	7	2	+9	28
4	Levante	16	7	6	3	+6	27
5	Eibar	16	7	6	3	+5	27
6	Granada	16	7	4	5	+8	25
7	Cartagena	16	7	4	5	+4	25
8	Andorra	16	7	3	6	+6	24
9	Huesca	17	6	6	5	+2	24
10	Sp Gijon	17	5	8	4	+1	23
11	Villarreal B	16	6	5	5	+0	23
12	Albacete	16	5	7	4	-2	22
13	Leganes	16	6	3	7	+0	21
14	Tenerife	16	5	5	6	+0	20
15	Santander	16	4	6	6	-3	18
16	Zaragoza	16	4	5	7	-4	17
17	Oviedo	16	4	5	7	-4	17
18	Ponferradina	16	4	5	7	-7	17
19	Mirandes	16	3	7	6	-5	16
20	Lugo	16	3	5	8	-8	14
21	Ibiza	16	3	3	10	-13	12
22	Malaga	16	2	5	9	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	8	6	2	0	+16	20
2	Villarreal B	8	5	3	0	+8	18
3	Eibar	8	5	3	0	+8	18
4	Alaves	8	5	3	0	+6	18
5	Huesca	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	Burgos	8	5	2	1	+7	17
7	Andorra	8	5	0	3	+9	15
8	Sp Gijon	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Tenerife	8	4	3	1	+5	15
10	Las Palmas	8	4	3	1	+4	15
11	Levante	8	4	2	2	+5	14
12	Cartagena	8	4	2	2	+3	14
13	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+2	14
14	Mirandes	9	3	4	2	+1	13
15	Albacete	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	Zaragoza	8	2	4	2	-1	10
17	Oviedo	8	3	1	4	-2	10
18	Lugo	8	2	3	3	+0	9
19	Ponferradina	8	2	3	3	-2	9
20	Ibiza	8	2	2	4	-4	8
21	Santander	8	1	4	3	-3	7
22	Malaga	7	1	3	3	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	8	3	4	1	+5	13
2	Burgos	8	3	4	1	+2	13
3	Levante	8	3	4	1	+1	13
4	Alaves	8	3	4	1	+0	13
5	Albacete	8	3	3	2	-2	12
6	Cartagena	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Santander	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Eibar	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	Andorra	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Ponferradina	8	2	2	4	-5	8
11	Sp Gijon	9	1	5	3	-5	8
12	Leganes	8	2	1	5	-2	7
13	Oviedo	8	1	4	3	-2	7
14	Zaragoza	8	2	1	5	-3	7
15	Huesca	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Tenerife	8	1	2	5	-5	5
17	Malaga	9	1	2	6	-5	5
18	Lugo	8	1	2	5	-8	5
19	Villarreal B	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Granada	8	1	2	5	-8	5
21	Ibiza	8	1	1	6	-9	4
22	Mirandes	7	0	3	4	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.