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LaLiga2
Sabadell
T T U S S
1–2
Full-time
Almeria
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sabadell Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
38%
25%
Both score Ø 19%
13%
25%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 2
18 Free kicks against 22
5 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sabadell 21. · Almeria 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 10 7 2 1 +13 23
2 Sp Gijon 10 7 1 2 +6 22
3 Mallorca 10 5 4 1 +7 19
4 Leganes 10 6 0 4 +2 18
5 Vallecano 10 5 1 4 +3 16
6 Lugo 10 5 1 4 +1 16
7 Cartagena 10 4 3 3 +4 15
8 Fuenlabrada 10 3 5 2 -1 14
9 Girona 9 4 2 3 -2 14
10 Malaga 10 4 2 4 -7 14
11 Mirandes 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 Las Palmas 10 3 4 3 -1 13
13 Ponferradina 9 4 0 5 -2 12
14 Almeria 8 3 2 3 +2 11
15 Logrones 9 3 2 4 -1 11
16 Oviedo 10 2 4 4 -3 10
17 Tenerife 10 2 4 4 -3 10
18 Albacete 10 2 3 5 -5 9
19 Zaragoza 9 1 5 3 -2 8
20 Castellon 10 2 2 6 -3 8
21 Sabadell 8 2 1 5 -4 7
22 Alcorcon 8 1 2 5 -4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,26
U
2,79
B ✓
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,65
U2,5
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.