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Serie B
Venezia
U U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Perugia
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Perugia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 31%
30%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
24%
46%
Both score Ø 46%
49%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

20 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Venezia 13. · Perugia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 37 25 8 4 +38 83
2 Crotone 37 20 8 9 +25 68
3 Spezia 37 16 10 11 +13 58
4 Pordenone 37 16 9 12 +2 57
5 Cittadella 37 16 7 14 -1 55
6 Chievo 37 13 14 10 +9 53
7 Pisa 37 14 11 12 +4 53
8 Frosinone 37 14 11 12 +3 53
9 Salernitana 37 14 10 13 +4 52
10 Empoli 37 13 12 12 -3 51
11 Cremonese 37 12 12 13 -1 48
12 Virtus Entella 37 12 12 13 -3 48
13 Venezia 37 11 14 12 -5 47
14 Ascoli 37 13 7 17 -6 46
15 Pescara 37 12 9 16 -6 45
16 Perugia 37 12 9 16 -9 45
17 Cosenza 37 11 10 16 -1 43
18 Trapani 37 10 13 14 -14 43
19 Juve Stabia 37 11 8 18 -14 41
20 Livorno 37 5 6 26 -35 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Dec -19 Perugia – Venezia 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,71
U
2,80
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.