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Serie B

Chievo

S U U T T

4–1

Full-time

Cittadella

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 37%

31%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

26%

46%

Both score Ø 53%

57%

49%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

17 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 3

9 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Chievo 10. · Cittadella 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	35	24	8	3	+38	80
2	Crotone	36	19	8	9	+24	65
3	Spezia	35	16	8	11	+13	56
4	Pordenone	35	16	7	12	+2	55
5	Frosinone	35	14	11	10	+5	53
6	Cittadella	35	15	7	13	+1	52
7	Salernitana	35	14	9	12	+6	51
8	Pisa	35	13	11	11	+4	50
9	Empoli	35	12	12	11	-1	48
10	Chievo	35	11	14	10	+5	47
11	Virtus Entella	35	12	11	12	-1	47
12	Ascoli	35	13	6	16	-5	45
13	Cremonese	35	11	11	13	-2	44
14	Venezia	35	10	14	11	-5	44
15	Pescara	35	11	9	15	-6	42
16	Perugia	35	11	9	15	-10	42
17	Juve Stabia	35	11	8	16	-12	41
18	Cosenza	35	9	10	16	-6	37
19	Trapani	35	8	13	14	-16	37
20	Livorno	36	5	6	25	-34	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	18	14	4	0	+31	46
2	Crotone	18	11	5	2	+18	38
3	Pordenone	18	11	4	3	+13	37
4	Salernitana	17	10	6	1	+15	36
5	Frosinone	17	10	4	3	+12	34
6	Spezia	18	10	3	5	+12	33
7	Pisa	18	9	5	4	+7	32
8	Ascoli	17	9	4	4	+7	31
9	Virtus Entella	17	8	6	3	+6	30
10	Juve Stabia	18	9	3	6	+2	30
11	Empoli	18	7	8	3	+7	29
12	Chievo	17	8	4	5	+7	28
13	Pescara	18	6	8	4	+7	26
14	Perugia	18	7	5	6	+1	26
15	Cremonese	17	7	4	6	+3	25
16	Trapani	17	6	6	5	+4	24
17	Cittadella	18	6	4	8	-4	22
18	Cosenza	17	4	5	8	-4	17
19	Venezia	17	3	6	8	-9	15
20	Livorno	18	3	2	13	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	17	10	4	3	+7	34
2	Cittadella	17	9	3	5	+5	30
3	Venezia	18	7	8	3	+4	29
4	Crotone	18	8	3	7	+6	27
5	Spezia	17	6	5	6	+1	23
6	Cosenza	18	5	5	8	-2	20
7	Chievo	18	3	10	5	-2	19
8	Cremonese	18	4	7	7	-5	19
9	Frosinone	18	4	7	7	-7	19
10	Empoli	17	5	4	8	-8	19
11	Pisa	17	4	6	7	-3	18
12	Pordenone	17	5	3	9	-11	18
13	Virtus Entella	18	4	5	9	-7	17
14	Perugia	17	4	4	9	-11	16
15	Pescara	17	5	1	11	-13	16
16	Salernitana	18	4	3	11	-9	15
17	Ascoli	18	4	2	12	-12	14
18	Trapani	18	2	7	9	-20	13
19	Juve Stabia	17	2	5	10	-14	11
20	Livorno	18	2	4	12	-13	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.