Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benevento
|
32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | +38 | 76 |
| 2 |
Crotone
|
32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | +17 | 55 |
| 3 |
Cittadella
|
32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
| 4 | Pordenone | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | +3 | 52 |
| 5 |
Frosinone
|
32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | +7 | 51 |
| 6 |
Spezia
|
32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | +9 | 50 |
| 7 |
Salernitana
|
32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | +4 | 47 |
| 8 |
Chievo
|
32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | +7 | 46 |
| 9 |
Pisa
|
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 46 |
| 10 |
Empoli
|
32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | +0 | 45 |
| 11 |
Virtus Entella
|
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 |
Perugia
|
32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 |
Pescara
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -6 | 39 |
| 14 |
Venezia
|
32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 |
Cremonese
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -4 | 37 |
| 16 |
Ascoli
|
32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -8 | 36 |
| 17 |
Juve Stabia
|
32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -13 | 36 |
| 18 | Trapani | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 |
Cosenza
|
32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -4 | 31 |
| 20 | Livorno | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | -26 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Salernitana
Juve Stabia
Benevento
Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia
Pescara
Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia
Spezia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.