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Ligue 2
Chateauroux
U T U S S
1–3
Full-time
Lorient
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chateauroux Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 39%
21%
57%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
14%
43%
Both score Ø 32%
21%
43%
Average goals
1,4
2,1
Scored
0,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 10
3 Corners 11
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chateauroux 16. · Lorient 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lens 14 8 4 2 +8 28
2 Lorient 14 8 3 3 +10 27
3 Ajaccio 14 7 5 2 +7 26
4 Troyes 14 8 2 4 +6 26
5 Sochaux 14 7 4 3 +11 25
6 Clermont 14 6 3 5 +0 21
7 Guingamp 14 5 5 4 +6 20
8 Grenoble 14 4 8 2 +2 20
9 Le Havre 14 4 7 3 +3 19
10 Nancy 14 3 10 1 +2 19
11 Rodez 14 5 3 6 +0 18
12 Auxerre 14 4 5 5 +3 17
13 Valenciennes 14 4 5 5 -3 17
14 Caen 14 3 6 5 -4 15
15 Niort 14 3 5 6 -5 14
16 Chateauroux 14 3 5 6 -7 14
17 Le Mans 14 4 1 9 -10 13
18 Chambly 14 3 4 7 -10 13
19 Paris FC 14 3 3 8 -11 12
20 Orleans 14 1 6 7 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,76
U
3,27
B ✓
1,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.