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Championship

Referee: A Madley

Middlesbrough

T S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Barnsley

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Barnsley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

This season — Championship · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 23%

38%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 24%

23%

25%

Both score Ø 40%

38%

42%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,6

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

21 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

5 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 12. · Barnsley 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	14	9	5	0	+13	32
2	West Brom	13	8	4	1	+13	28
3	Coventry	13	8	2	3	+7	26
4	Fulham	12	7	2	3	+13	23
5	Reading	13	7	1	5	+1	22
6	QPR	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Stoke	13	6	3	4	+2	21
8	Luton	13	5	5	3	+7	20
9	Huddersfield	10	6	1	3	+6	19
10	Bristol City	14	5	4	5	-1	19
11	Sheffield United	14	5	3	6	+2	18
12	Middlesbrough	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Millwall	13	4	6	3	-1	18
14	Blackburn	13	4	5	4	+4	17
15	Derby	14	3	7	4	-2	16
16	Preston	13	3	6	4	-2	15
17	Blackpool	12	4	3	5	-4	15
18	Nott'm Forest	12	4	2	6	+0	14
19	Swansea	12	3	5	4	-2	14
20	Birmingham	13	3	3	7	-9	12
21	Cardiff	13	3	3	7	-10	12
22	Peterboro	13	3	2	8	-12	11
23	Hull	13	2	3	8	-10	9
24	Barnsley	12	1	5	6	-8	8
25	Peterborough	12	2	2	8	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	7	7	0	0	+14	21
2	Reading	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Stoke	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	West Brom	6	4	2	0	+7	14
5	Bournemouth	6	4	2	0	+6	14
6	QPR	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Fulham	6	4	1	1	+9	13
8	Sheffield United	8	4	1	3	+7	13
9	Middlesbrough	7	4	1	2	+5	13
10	Huddersfield	5	4	0	1	+4	12
11	Preston	7	3	3	1	+1	12
12	Luton	6	3	2	1	+6	11
13	Blackburn	6	3	2	1	+6	11
14	Derby	7	2	5	0	+2	11
15	Swansea	6	2	3	1	+2	9
16	Blackpool	6	3	0	3	-3	9
17	Peterboro	6	2	2	2	+2	8
18	Peterborough	6	2	2	2	+2	8
19	Millwall	6	2	2	2	-1	8
20	Barnsley	6	1	2	3	-3	5
21	Hull	7	1	2	4	-5	5
22	Birmingham	6	1	2	3	-6	5
23	Nott'm Forest	6	1	1	4	-4	4
24	Bristol City	7	0	4	3	-4	4
25	Cardiff	6	1	1	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	8	5	3	0	+7	18
2	Bristol City	7	5	0	2	+3	15
3	West Brom	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Fulham	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Nott'm Forest	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Millwall	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Luton	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Cardiff	7	2	2	3	-5	8
9	Huddersfield	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	QPR	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Birmingham	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Blackpool	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Blackburn	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Reading	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	Stoke	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Middlesbrough	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Swansea	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Derby	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Sheffield United	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Coventry	6	1	2	3	-7	5
21	Hull	6	1	1	4	-5	4
22	Preston	6	0	3	3	-3	3
23	Barnsley	6	0	3	3	-5	3
24	Peterboro	7	1	0	6	-14	3
25	Peterborough	6	0	0	6	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.