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Championship
Referee: G Scott
Cardiff
T S T T T
0–4
Full-time
West Brom
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
30%
60%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 14. · West Brom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 10 6 4 0 +9 22
2 Coventry 10 7 1 2 +9 22
3 Bournemouth 9 6 3 0 +9 21
4 Fulham 9 5 2 2 +11 17
5 Stoke 9 5 2 2 +3 17
6 Blackburn 9 4 4 1 +7 16
7 Reading 10 5 1 4 +0 16
8 Sheffield United 10 4 3 3 +5 15
9 Huddersfield 8 4 1 3 +3 13
10 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 +1 13
11 Luton 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 Preston 10 3 4 3 -1 13
13 QPR 9 3 3 3 +3 12
14 Cardiff 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Birmingham 10 3 3 4 -3 12
16 Blackpool 9 3 2 4 -4 11
17 Swansea 9 2 4 3 -3 10
18 Derby 10 2 4 4 -3 10
19 Middlesbrough 9 2 3 4 -2 9
20 Millwall 9 1 6 2 -2 9
21 Barnsley 9 1 5 3 -4 8
22 Peterboro 9 2 1 6 -10 7
23 Peterborough 9 2 1 6 -10 7
24 Hull 9 1 2 6 -9 5
25 Nott'm Forest 8 0 2 6 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff West Brom
5′
K. Ahearne-Grant 0–1
A. Reach
James Collins 🟨
39′
42′
🟨 Kyle Bartley
Half-time 1–1
56′
C. Nelson 1–1
own goal
63′
🔁 M. Phillips
↦ C. Robinson
63′
🔁 G. Diangana
↦ K. Ahearne-Grant
M. Harris 🔁
↦ J. Collins
67′
K. Moore 🔁
↦ M. McGuinness
67′
R. Colwill 🔁
↦ W. Vaulks
75′
75′
A. Mowatt 1–2
81′
🔁 J. Molumby
↦ J. Livermore
82′
M. Phillips 1–3
G. Diangana
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Cardiff

3-4-1-2
1 D. Phillips G
4 S. Morrison D
5 A. Flint D
16 C. Nelson D
30 C. Brown M
2 M. McGuinness M
7 L. Bacuna F
21 M. Pack M
6 W. Vaulks M
26 R. Giles F
19 J. Collins F
Bench (7)
29 M. Harris
10 K. Moore
27 R. Colwill
8 J. Ralls
38 P. Ng
3 J. Bagan
25 A. Smithies

Coach: M. McCarthy

West Brom

3-4-3
1 S. Johnstone G
5 K. Bartley D
20 A. Reach M
3 C. Townsend D
6 S. Ajayi D
2 D. Furlong M
8 J. Livermore M
27 A. Mowatt M
7 C. Robinson F
17 J. Hugill F
18 K. Ahearne-Grant F
Bench (7)
10 M. Phillips
11 G. Diangana
14 J. Molumby
25 D. Button
29 T. Gardner-Hickman
22 K. Bryan
21 C. Kipre

Coach: V. Ismaël

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,17
U
3,48
B ✓
1,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Scott · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.