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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

T U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Bielefeld

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/27 matches

Win Ø 44%

36%

52%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

68%

44%

Both score Ø 68%

79%

56%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 8

5 Corners 8

17 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 7. · Bielefeld 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	27	14	11	2	+26	53
2	Stuttgart	28	14	6	8	+12	48
3	Hamburg	28	12	10	6	+19	46
4	Heidenheim	28	12	9	7	+6	45
5	Darmstadt	29	10	13	6	+4	43
6	Greuther Furth	28	10	8	10	+2	38
7	Holstein Kiel	28	10	8	10	+0	38
8	Erzgebirge Aue	28	10	8	10	+0	38
9	Hannover	27	9	9	9	-1	36
10	Regensburg	29	9	9	11	-6	36
11	Bochum	28	8	11	9	-1	35
12	St Pauli	28	8	10	10	-2	34
13	Osnabruck	29	8	10	11	-3	34
14	Sandhausen	28	7	12	9	-4	33
15	Nurnberg	28	7	10	11	-12	31
16	Karlsruhe	28	6	11	11	-11	29
17	Wehen	28	7	7	14	-13	28
18	Dresden	25	6	6	13	-16	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	14	11	1	2	+19	34
2	Erzgebirge Aue	14	9	3	2	+13	30
3	Hamburg	13	9	2	2	+18	29
4	Heidenheim	14	8	4	2	+12	28
5	St Pauli	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Bielefeld	13	6	6	1	+12	24
7	Darmstadt	15	5	9	1	+8	24
8	Greuther Furth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
9	Bochum	15	5	7	3	+5	22
10	Regensburg	14	6	4	4	+2	22
11	Osnabruck	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Sandhausen	14	4	7	3	+0	19
13	Holstein Kiel	13	4	5	4	-1	17
14	Karlsruhe	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Dresden	13	5	2	6	-2	17
16	Nurnberg	14	3	6	5	-9	15
17	Hannover	13	2	8	3	-4	14
18	Wehen	14	3	4	7	-13	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	14	8	5	1	+14	29
2	Hannover	14	7	1	6	+3	22
3	Holstein Kiel	15	6	3	6	+1	21
4	Darmstadt	14	5	4	5	-4	19
5	Hamburg	15	3	8	4	+1	17
6	Heidenheim	14	4	5	5	-6	17
7	Nurnberg	14	4	4	6	-3	16
8	Wehen	14	4	3	7	+0	15
9	Greuther Furth	14	3	6	5	+0	15
10	Osnabruck	14	3	6	5	-3	15
11	Sandhausen	14	3	5	6	-4	14
12	Stuttgart	14	3	5	6	-7	14
13	Regensburg	15	3	5	7	-8	14
14	Bochum	13	3	4	6	-6	13
15	Karlsruhe	14	2	6	6	-9	12
16	St Pauli	13	1	5	7	-11	8
17	Erzgebirge Aue	14	1	5	8	-13	8
18	Dresden	12	1	4	7	-14	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.