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Championship
Referee: R Jones
Hull
S T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Luton
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Luton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
3,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
This season — Championship · 44/44 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
66%
64%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
61%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
25 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 22. · Luton 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 44 26 9 9 +36 87
2 West Brom 45 22 16 7 +32 82
3 Fulham 41 21 10 10 +13 73
4 Brentford 42 21 9 12 +37 72
5 Nott'm Forest 44 18 16 10 +12 70
6 Cardiff 42 17 15 10 +7 66
7 Millwall 44 16 17 11 +4 65
8 Swansea 42 16 16 10 +10 64
9 Preston 44 17 11 16 +3 62
10 Bristol City 44 17 11 16 -4 62
11 Derby 44 16 13 15 -2 61
12 Blackburn 44 16 12 16 +3 60
13 Wigan 45 15 13 17 +1 58
14 Reading 44 15 11 18 +5 56
15 Sheffield Weds 44 15 11 18 -5 56
16 QPR 44 15 9 20 -10 54
17 Stoke 45 15 8 22 -9 53
18 Huddersfield 45 13 12 20 -15 51
19 Middlesbrough 44 12 14 18 -12 50
20 Birmingham 44 12 14 18 -17 50
21 Charlton 45 12 12 21 -11 48
22 Hull 44 12 9 23 -26 45
23 Luton 44 12 9 23 -30 45
24 Barnsley 44 10 13 21 -22 43

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -19 Luton – Hull 0–3

Match report

Hull Luton
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 James Collins
Leo da Silva Lopes 🟨
60′
70′
🔁 D. Hylton
↦ J. Collins
70′
🔁 K. LuaLua
↦ H. Cornick
73′
🟨 Glen Rea
J. Scott 🔁
↦ T. Eaves
76′
79′
🔁 G. Moncur
↦ E. Lee
85′
K. LuaLua 0–1
C. Carter-Vickers
K. Lewis-Potter 🔁
↦ D. Batty
88′
96′
🔁 P. Kioso
↦ M. Cranie
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hull

4-2-3-1
13 M. Ingram G
3 R. Tafazolli D
15 A. MacDonald D
26 C. Elder D
6 K. Stewart M
37 Leonardo Lopes D
18 G. Honeyman M
8 D. Batty M
27 J. Magennis M
9 T. Eaves F
43 M. Wilks M
Bench (9)
44 J. Scott
31 K. Lewis-Potter
42 M. Samuelsen
38 E. Bonds
1 G. Long
4 J. de Wijs
10 Jon Toral
5 R. Burke
46 C. Jones

Coach: G. McCann

Luton

4-2-3-1
12 S. Sluga G
2 M. Cranie D
5 S. Bradley D
16 G. Rea M
26 J. Bree D
18 C. Carter-Vickers D
8 L. Berry M
17 P. Ruddock M
19 J. Collins F
10 E. Lee M
14 H. Cornick M
Bench (9)
9 D. Hylton
25 K. LuaLua
20 G. Moncur
30 P. Kioso
4 R. Tunnicliffe
36 J. Shea
11 A. Shinnie
7 C. McManaman
29 J. Butterfield

Coach: N. Jones

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U
3,48
B ✓
2,62
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Jones · 186 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.