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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Waregem
S S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 68%
70%
65%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
6 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 3. · Anderlecht 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
2 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
3 Waregem 20 14 4 2 +21 46
4 Anderlecht 20 13 4 3 +30 43
5 Club Brugge 20 13 3 4 +26 42
6 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
7 Oostende 20 12 4 4 +20 40
8 Gent 20 11 4 5 +13 37
9 Charleroi 20 9 8 3 +6 35
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Anderlecht
20′
A. Chipciu 0–1
Y. Tielemans
Half-time 0–1
B. Gueye 🔁
↦ O. Kaya
46′
1–1 H. Dalsgaard
M. Leye
63′
72′
Y. Tielemans 1–2
A. Trebel
78′
🟨 Serigne Kara Mbodj
C. Lepoint 🔁
↦ S. Coopman
79′
81′
🔁 F. Acheampong
↦ A. Chipciu
84′
🔁 I. Thelin
↦ A. Trebel
R. Mühren 🔁
↦ L. Marrone
89′
89′
🔁 O. Deschacht
↦ Y. Tielemans
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Waregem

4-2-3-1
22 K. Steppe G
6 T. Derijck M
31 B. Hamalainen D
14 H. Dalsgaard D
3 M. Baudry D
10 O. Kaya M
4 L. Marrone M
17 S. Meïté M
8 L. Lerager M
43 S. Coopman M
9 M. Leye F
Bench (7)
19 B. Gueye
23 C. Lepoint
21 R. Mühren
7 A. Bala
15 K. Madu
25 L. Bostyn
29 A. Cordaro

Coach: F. Dury

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
23 F. Boeckx G
37 I. Obradović D
14 B. Nuytinck D
4 K. Mbodji D
5 U. Spajić D
11 A. Chipciu F
94 S. Hanni M
25 A. Trebel M
32 L. Dendoncker M
31 Y. Tielemans M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
Bench (7)
18 F. Acheampong
24 I. Thelin
3 O. Deschacht
10 M. Bruno
12 D. Appiah
73 N. Stanciu
1 Rubén

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.