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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
1–0
Full-time
Boavista
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
0,7
1,2
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 21%
11%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 11%
11%
10%
Both score Ø 31%
11%
50%
Average goals
0,9
1,5
Scored
0,2
0,9
Conceded
0,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 27
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 11
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitoria Setubal 16. · Boavista 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 11 10 0 1 +21 30
2 Porto 11 9 1 1 +20 28
3 Famalicao 10 7 2 1 +7 23
4 Sp Lisbon 10 5 2 3 +4 17
5 Guimaraes 10 4 4 2 +7 16
6 Tondela 11 4 4 3 +1 16
7 Boavista 10 3 6 1 +3 15
8 Santa Clara 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Rio Ave 10 3 3 4 +1 12
10 Setubal 10 2 6 2 -3 12
11 Sp Braga 11 3 3 5 -4 12
12 Moreirense 11 2 5 4 -2 11
13 Gil Vicente 11 2 5 4 -4 11
14 Maritimo 11 2 5 4 -5 11
15 Belenenses 10 3 2 5 -8 11
16 Vitoria Setubal 9 1 6 2 -4 9
17 Portimonense 10 1 4 5 -8 7
18 Pacos Ferreira 10 1 2 7 -11 5
19 Aves 10 1 0 9 -13 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Boavista
3′
🟨 Yaw Ackah
Leandrinho 🟨
38′
45′
🟨 Helton Leite
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Paulinho
54′
🟨 Marlon
72′
🔁 Heriberto Tavares
↦ Paulinho
Éber Bessa 🔁
↦ B. Mansilla
74′
K. Hachadi 🔁
↦ Hildeberto Pereira
76′
0–1 Marlon Xavier
own goal
77′
78′
🔁 Mateus
↦ Gustavo
81′
🔁 Cassiano
↦ Carraça
Jubal 🔁
↦ N. Ghilas
84′
Khalid Hachadi 🟨
86′
Éber Bessa 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-3-1-2
90 G. Makaridze G
17 Sílvio D
24 Bruno Pires D
4 Artur Jorge D
16 André Sousa D
8 Nuno Valente M
25 Leandrinho M
76 Carlinhos M
99 N. Ghilas F
11 Hildeberto Pereira F
22 B. Mansilla M
Bench (7)
10 Éber Bessa
9 K. Hachadi
3 Jubal
5 Mano
87 Zequinha
12 Milton Raphael
34 Leandro Vilela

Coach: A. Meyong

Boavista

5-4-1
90 Helton Leite G
18 Fabiano D
27 Neris D
6 Marlon Xavier D
22 Ricardo Costa D
4 N. Obiora M
17 Carraça D
30 Paulinho
88 Y. Ackah M
19 N. Stojiljković F
8 Gustavo M
Bench (7)
91 Heriberto Tavares
9 Mateus
39 Cassiano
3 Lucas Tagliapietra
42 I. Mandiang
99 João Gonçalves
23 Rafael Costa

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.