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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Ankaragücü
T S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Gaziantep
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Gaziantep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
22%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
44%
89%
Average goals
2,1
3,6
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 16. · Gaziantep 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 10 5 4 1 +8 19
2 Sivasspor 10 5 3 2 +7 18
3 Yeni Malatyaspor 10 5 2 3 +12 17
4 Fenerbahce 10 5 2 3 +8 17
5 Trabzonspor 10 4 4 2 +6 16
6 Buyuksehyr 10 4 4 2 +4 16
7 Galatasaray 10 4 4 2 +2 16
8 Besiktas 10 4 3 3 +0 15
9 Konyaspor 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Kasimpasa 10 3 3 4 -1 12
11 Goztep 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 -4 12
13 Denizlispor 10 3 2 5 -3 11
14 Antalyaspor 10 3 2 5 -8 11
15 Rizespor 10 3 2 5 -8 11
16 Ankaragücü 9 2 3 4 -7 9
17 Genclerbirligi 10 1 4 5 -2 7
18 Kayserispor 10 1 4 5 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Gaziantep
30′
P. Twumasi 0–1
Tiago Pinto 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Papy Djilobodji
Half-time 0–1
C. Karayel 🔁
↦ R. Faty
46′
62′
🔁 B. Pawłowski
↦ Jefferson
1–1 İ. Parlak
A. Karabulut
67′
73′
🟨 Souleymane Diarra
80′
🔁 K. Özer
↦ G. Vural
İlhan Parlak 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 F. Soyalp
↦ S. Diarra
H. Kaya 🔁
↦ A. Karabulut
92′
93′
P. Djilobodji 1–2
P. Twumasi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
1 K. Çelikay G
22 M. Pazdan D
13 A. Kulusic D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
14 R. Faty M
20 A. Karabulut M
10 H. Canteros M
21 W. Moke M
23 İ. Parlak M
12 D. Orgill F
Bench (10)
19 C. Karayel
28 H. Kaya
27 A. Arık
2 Y. Ayhan
4 M. Sak
80 B. Gürbüz
5 A. Kubalas
99 F. Bekleviç
45 A. Önal
95 Z. Sadaev

Coach: M. Diyadin

Gaziantep

5-3-2
1 G. Güvenç G
13 Junior Maranhão D
6 A. Toșca D
3 P. Djilobodji D
16 P. Olkowski D
76 J. Kana-Biyik D
11 G. Vural M
15 R. Chibsah M
8 Jefferson F
18 S. Diarra M
27 P. Twumasi F
Bench (9)
9 B. Pawłowski
7 K. Özer
19 F. Soyalp
99 A. Ateş
71 M. Bozan
97 H. Yurtseven
5 K. Aktaş
21 Y. Lodygin
4 U. Zengin

Coach: M. Şumudică

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U
3,43
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.