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Serie A

Referee: Carmine Russo

Bologna

T T T T U

0–2

Full-time

Lazio

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 43%

27%

58%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

35%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

46%

54%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 16. · Lazio 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	27	22	1	4	+38	67
2	Roma	27	19	2	6	+33	59
3	Napoli	27	17	6	4	+32	57
4	Atalanta	27	16	4	7	+16	52
5	Inter	27	16	3	8	+18	51
6	Lazio	26	15	5	6	+16	50
7	Milan	27	15	5	7	+10	50
8	Fiorentina	27	11	9	7	+7	42
9	Torino	27	10	9	8	+8	39
10	Sampdoria	27	10	8	9	+1	38
11	Chievo	27	10	5	12	-8	35
12	Sassuolo	27	9	4	14	-7	31
13	Cagliari	27	9	4	14	-21	31
14	Udinese	27	8	6	13	-7	30
15	Genoa	27	7	8	12	-11	29
16	Bologna	26	7	7	12	-15	28
17	Empoli	27	5	7	15	-24	22
18	Palermo	27	3	6	18	-30	15
19	Crotone	27	3	5	19	-24	14
20	Pescara	27	2	6	19	-32	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	14	0	0	+29	42
2	Roma	13	12	0	1	+27	36
3	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+14	30
4	Inter	13	9	2	2	+16	29
5	Lazio	14	9	2	3	+12	29
6	Milan	14	9	2	3	+8	29
7	Torino	13	8	4	1	+15	28
8	Sampdoria	14	8	4	2	+9	28
9	Atalanta	13	9	1	3	+8	28
10	Fiorentina	13	6	7	0	+8	25
11	Cagliari	13	7	2	4	-2	23
12	Chievo	14	5	4	5	-4	19
13	Genoa	13	4	6	3	+5	18
14	Udinese	14	5	3	6	+0	18
15	Bologna	13	5	2	6	-4	17
16	Sassuolo	13	5	1	7	-4	16
17	Empoli	14	4	3	7	-11	15
18	Crotone	14	3	3	8	-7	12
19	Pescara	13	1	4	8	-13	7
20	Palermo	13	1	2	10	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	8	3	2	+18	27
2	Juventus	13	8	1	4	+9	25
3	Atalanta	14	7	3	4	+8	24
4	Roma	14	7	2	5	+6	23
5	Inter	14	7	1	6	+2	22
6	Lazio	12	6	3	3	+4	21
7	Milan	13	6	3	4	+2	21
8	Fiorentina	14	5	2	7	-1	17
9	Chievo	13	5	1	7	-4	16
10	Sassuolo	14	4	3	7	-3	15
11	Udinese	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	Torino	14	2	5	7	-7	11
13	Bologna	13	2	5	6	-11	11
14	Genoa	14	3	2	9	-16	11
15	Sampdoria	13	2	4	7	-8	10
16	Palermo	14	2	4	8	-14	10
17	Cagliari	14	2	2	10	-19	8
18	Empoli	13	1	4	8	-13	7
19	Pescara	14	1	2	11	-19	5
20	Crotone	13	0	2	11	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.