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Championship
Referee: Andy Madley
Hull
S T U T U
1–3
Full-time
Aston Villa
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Preston 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ipswich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Nott'm Forest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Aston Villa
1–0 Evandro
7′
14′
T. Elphick 1–1
J. Grealish
Half-time 1–1
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ F. Campbell
67′
M. Milinković 🔁
↦ T. Kane
67′
67′
🔁 A. Green
↦ A. Adomah
70′
Ahmed El Mohamady 1–2
C. Hourihane
75′
A. Hutton 1–3
Ahmed El Mohamady
76′
🟨 Alan Hutton
77′
🔁 R. Hepburn-Murphy
↦ J. Kodjia
83′
🔁 B. Bjarnason
↦ J. Grealish
W. Keane 🔁
↦ Evandro
86′
90′
🟨 Birkir Bjarnason
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 D. Marshall G
2 E. Lichaj D
23 S. Kingsley D
4 J. de Wijs D
17 T. Kane M
5 R. Burke D
7 Evandro M
22 M. Henriksen M
18 D. Batty M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
9 N. Dicko
11 M. Milinković
19 W. Keane
6 K. Stewart
12 G. Long
15 A. MacDonald
16 J. Irvine

Coach: N. Adkins

Aston Villa

4-4-1-1
12 J. Steer G
21 A. Hutton D
3 N. Taylor D
24 T. Elphick D
5 J. Chester D
6 G. Whelan M
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
37 A. Adomah M
14 C. Hourihane M
10 J. Grealish M
26 J. Kodjia F
Bench (7)
19 A. Green
29 R. Hepburn-Murphy
20 B. Bjarnason
8 H. Lansbury
16 J. Bree
25 G. Gardner
31 M. Bunn

Coach: S. Bruce

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Madley · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.