Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Middlesbrough
Wolves
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wolves
|
38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | +36 | 82 |
| 2 |
Cardiff
|
38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | +29 | 79 |
| 3 |
Fulham
|
36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | +27 | 68 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | +22 | 62 |
| 5 |
Bristol City
|
39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | +12 | 62 |
| 6 |
Derby
|
35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | +22 | 61 |
| 7 |
Middlesbrough
|
36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | +19 | 61 |
| 8 |
Millwall
|
39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | +11 | 61 |
| 9 |
Sheffield United
|
39 | 18 | 7 | 14 | +8 | 61 |
| 10 |
Preston
|
39 | 15 | 15 | 9 | +8 | 60 |
| 11 |
Brentford
|
39 | 14 | 13 | 12 | +8 | 55 |
| 12 |
Leeds
|
39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | -2 | 53 |
| 13 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -1 | 52 |
| 14 |
Norwich
|
39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 |
QPR
|
38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | -10 | 47 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | -13 | 46 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Weds
|
39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | -8 | 44 |
| 18 |
Hull
|
38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | -6 | 39 |
| 19 |
Bolton
|
39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -24 | 39 |
| 20 |
Reading
|
38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | -13 | 36 |
| 21 |
Barnsley
|
39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -19 | 34 |
| 22 |
Birmingham
|
38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | -29 | 33 |
| 23 |
Burton Albion
|
39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -42 | 30 |
| 24 |
Sunderland
|
38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -30 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Brentford
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Barnsley
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Leeds
Sunderland
Middlesbrough
Stuart Attwell · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.