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Championship
Referee: James Linington
Nott'm Forest
S S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Leeds
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
36%
36%
Both score Ø 53%
55%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 15. · Leeds 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 22 14 4 4 +21 46
2 Hull 22 13 5 4 +20 44
3 Derby 22 12 8 2 +20 44
4 Brighton 22 11 10 1 +8 43
5 Burnley 23 10 8 5 +7 38
6 Ipswich 23 10 7 6 +3 37
7 Sheffield Weds 22 9 8 5 +8 35
8 Cardiff 23 8 9 6 +3 33
9 Brentford 23 9 6 8 +2 33
10 Birmingham 23 9 6 8 +1 33
11 Reading 23 8 6 9 +2 30
12 QPR 23 7 8 8 -2 29
13 Leeds 22 7 8 7 -2 29
14 Blackburn 22 6 10 6 +3 28
15 Nott'm Forest 22 7 7 8 +1 28
16 Wolves 23 7 7 9 -3 28
17 Preston 23 5 10 8 -3 25
18 Fulham 23 5 9 9 -5 24
19 Huddersfield 23 6 6 11 -8 24
20 Milton Keynes Dons 23 6 4 13 -11 22
21 Rotherham 23 6 3 14 -10 21
22 Bristol City 23 4 9 10 -17 21
23 Charlton 23 4 7 12 -19 19
24 Bolton 23 1 11 11 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Leeds
14′
🟨 Sam Byram
1–0 Nélson Oliveira
M. Mills
17′
Half-time 1–0
Ryan Mendes 🟨
57′
J. Ward 🔁
↦ Ryan Mendes
62′
62′
🔁 S. Doukara
↦ L. Cook
R. Tesche 🔁
↦ C. OGrady
68′
Henri Lansbury 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Giuseppe Bellusci
77′
🔁 M. Antenucci
↦ S. Dallas
80′
S. Byram 1–1
S. Doukara
Ben Osborn 🟨
81′
O. Burke 🔁
↦ D. Vaughan
83′
93′
🔁 L. Coyle
↦ S. Byram
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

1 D. de Vries G
4 M. Mancienne D
5 M. Mills D
25 J. Hobbs D
2 E. Lichaj D
24 D. Vaughan M
10 H. Lansbury M
38 B. Osborn M
29 C. O'Grady F
15 Ryan Mendes M
17 Nélson Oliveira F
Bench (7)
19 J. Ward
32 R. Tesche
35 O. Burke
23 D. Blackstock
27 C. Burke
18 L. Trotter
26 D. Evtimov

Leeds

1 M. Silvestri G
5 G. Bellusci D
6 L. Cooper D
4 S. Wootton D
21 C. Taylor D
2 S. Byram M
8 L. Murphy M
26 L. Bridcutt M
15 S. Dallas M
23 L. Cook M
9 C. Wood F
Bench (7)
11 S. Doukara
7 M. Antenucci
31 L. Coyle
3 S. Bamba
45 B. Peacock-Farrell
24 T. Adeyemi
29 C. Sloth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.