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Championship

Referee: Keith Stroud

Brentford

S S U S T

1–2

Full-time

Wolves

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Wolves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,5

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Championship · 36/35 matches

Win Ø 33%

36%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

56%

49%

Both score Ø 55%

56%

54%

Average goals

2,9

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

9 Shots 24

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 14. · Wolves 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	37	24	5	8	+38	77
2	Brighton	37	23	8	6	+32	77
3	Huddersfield	33	21	5	7	+10	68
4	Leeds	37	20	6	11	+14	66
5	Reading	34	18	7	9	+5	61
6	Fulham	34	15	12	7	+17	57
7	Sheffield Weds	35	16	8	11	+8	56
8	Preston	37	15	11	11	+6	56
9	Norwich	37	15	9	13	+7	54
10	Derby	37	14	10	13	+3	52
11	Barnsley	37	14	9	14	+2	51
12	Aston Villa	37	12	12	13	-2	48
13	Cardiff	37	13	9	15	-3	48
14	Brentford	36	13	8	15	+2	47
15	QPR	37	13	8	16	-9	47
16	Ipswich	37	10	15	12	-7	45
17	Birmingham	37	11	11	15	-16	44
18	Burton Albion	37	10	11	16	-12	41
19	Nott'm Forest	37	11	7	19	-11	40
20	Wolves	35	10	9	16	-5	39
21	Bristol City	37	10	8	19	-7	38
22	Blackburn	36	9	11	16	-11	38
23	Wigan	37	8	10	19	-11	34
24	Rotherham	37	4	5	28	-50	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	19	14	3	2	+29	45
2	Leeds	19	12	3	4	+12	39
3	Reading	18	11	5	2	+13	38
4	Huddersfield	16	12	2	2	+11	38
5	Norwich	18	11	4	3	+21	37
6	Newcastle	18	11	2	5	+18	35
7	Sheffield Weds	17	11	2	4	+12	35
8	Preston	19	10	4	5	+11	34
9	Aston Villa	18	9	7	2	+11	34
10	Derby	19	8	7	4	+8	31
11	Nott'm Forest	18	9	3	6	+7	30
12	Cardiff	19	8	4	7	+3	28
13	Fulham	17	7	6	4	+6	27
14	Ipswich	19	6	9	4	+2	27
15	Burton Albion	18	8	3	7	+2	27
16	Blackburn	19	7	6	6	+0	27
17	Brentford	17	7	5	5	+10	26
18	Bristol City	18	7	4	7	+0	25
19	Barnsley	19	6	7	6	-1	25
20	Birmingham	19	7	4	8	-5	25
21	QPR	19	7	4	8	-6	25
22	Wolves	17	5	3	9	-6	18
23	Rotherham	18	4	4	10	-9	16
24	Wigan	18	3	6	9	-7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	19	13	3	3	+20	42
2	Brighton	18	9	5	4	+3	32
3	Fulham	17	8	6	3	+11	30
4	Huddersfield	17	9	3	5	-1	30
5	Leeds	18	8	3	7	+2	27
6	Barnsley	18	8	2	8	+3	26
7	Reading	16	7	2	7	-8	23
8	QPR	18	6	4	8	-3	22
9	Preston	18	5	7	6	-5	22
10	Wolves	18	5	6	7	+1	21
11	Sheffield Weds	18	5	6	7	-4	21
12	Derby	18	6	3	9	-5	21
13	Brentford	19	6	3	10	-8	21
14	Cardiff	18	5	5	8	-6	20
15	Wigan	19	5	4	10	-4	19
16	Birmingham	18	4	7	7	-11	19
17	Ipswich	18	4	6	8	-9	18
18	Norwich	19	4	5	10	-14	17
19	Aston Villa	19	3	5	11	-13	14
20	Burton Albion	19	2	8	9	-14	14
21	Bristol City	19	3	4	12	-7	13
22	Blackburn	17	2	5	10	-11	11
23	Nott'm Forest	19	2	4	13	-18	10
24	Rotherham	19	0	1	18	-41	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.