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Championship
Referee: Steve Martin
Wolves
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Birmingham
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
This season — Championship · 31/33 matches
Win Ø 30%
29%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Wolves 19. · Birmingham 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 32 22 3 7 +37 69
2 Brighton 32 20 8 4 +28 68
3 Huddersfield 29 19 4 6 +10 61
4 Leeds 33 18 4 11 +11 58
5 Reading 30 17 6 7 +10 57
6 Sheffield Weds 31 15 7 9 +7 52
7 Norwich 33 15 6 12 +11 51
8 Fulham 30 13 10 7 +13 49
9 Barnsley 33 14 7 12 +4 49
10 Preston 33 13 10 10 +4 49
11 Derby 32 13 9 10 +7 48
12 Cardiff 33 13 6 14 -2 45
13 Ipswich 33 10 11 12 -7 41
14 Brentford 32 11 7 14 +0 40
15 QPR 33 11 7 15 -10 40
16 Birmingham 33 10 10 13 -14 40
17 Aston Villa 32 8 12 12 -8 36
18 Nott'm Forest 33 10 6 17 -12 36
19 Wolves 31 9 8 14 -4 35
20 Burton Albion 33 9 8 16 -13 35
21 Bristol City 32 9 5 18 -6 32
22 Wigan 33 7 9 17 -10 30
23 Blackburn 31 7 8 16 -13 29
24 Rotherham 33 4 5 24 -43 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Birmingham
27′
M. Kieftenbeld 0–1
Jón Daði Böðvarsson 🟨
31′
32′
D. Davis 0–2
41′
🟨 Ryan Shotton
43′
🟨 Josh Cogley
Half-time 0–2
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ G. Saville
46′
50′
🟨 Cheick Keita
53′
🟥 Paul Robinson
55′
🔁 K. Bielik
↦ C. Gardner
1–2 N. Dicko
Hélder Costa
73′
Conor Coady 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 G. Stewart
↦ Nsue
79′
🟨 Greg Stewart
88′
🟨 Tomasz Kuszczak
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Wolves

4-2-3-1
1 C. Ikeme G
5 R. Stearman D
6 D. Batth D
2 M. Doherty M
4 D. Edwards M
17 Hélder Costa F
16 C. Coady D
19 J. Price M
8 G. Saville M
63 A. Weimann M
22 J. Böðvarsson F
Bench (7)
9 N. Dicko
21 A. Lonergan
26 B. Enobakhare
27 R. Saïss
55 M. Gibbs-white
60 M. Williamson
64 B. Marshall

Coach: P. Lambert

Birmingham

3-5-1-1
29 T. Kuszczak G
4 P. Robinson D
5 R. Shotton D
33 C. Keita D
25 J. Cogley M
12 C. Gardner M
7 R. Tesche M
2 Nsue D
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
26 D. Davis M
14 Che Adams F
Bench (7)
31 K. Bielik
20 G. Stewart
1 A. Legzdins
8 S. Gleeson
21 K. Frei
30 C. O'Keeffe
48 J. Sinclair

Coach: G. Zola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Steve Martin · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.