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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Fulham
S U S U S
2–2
Full-time
Blackburn
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 34/36 matches
Win Ø 35%
44%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
47%
Both score Ø 65%
62%
67%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 6. · Blackburn 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 37 24 5 8 +38 77
2 Brighton 37 23 8 6 +32 77
3 Huddersfield 33 21 5 7 +10 68
4 Leeds 37 20 6 11 +14 66
5 Reading 34 18 7 9 +5 61
6 Fulham 34 15 12 7 +17 57
7 Sheffield Weds 35 16 8 11 +8 56
8 Preston 37 15 11 11 +6 56
9 Norwich 37 15 9 13 +7 54
10 Derby 37 14 10 13 +3 52
11 Barnsley 37 14 9 14 +2 51
12 Aston Villa 37 12 12 13 -2 48
13 Cardiff 37 13 9 15 -3 48
14 Brentford 36 13 8 15 +2 47
15 QPR 37 13 8 16 -9 47
16 Ipswich 37 10 15 12 -7 45
17 Birmingham 37 11 11 15 -16 44
18 Burton Albion 37 10 11 16 -12 41
19 Nott'm Forest 37 11 7 19 -11 40
20 Wolves 35 10 9 16 -5 39
21 Bristol City 37 10 8 19 -7 38
22 Blackburn 36 9 11 16 -11 38
23 Wigan 37 8 10 19 -11 34
24 Rotherham 37 4 5 28 -50 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Blackburn
40′
🟨 Danny Guthrie
1–0 S. Aluko
S. Johansen
45′
Half-time 1–0
Ryan Fredericks 🟨
49′
60′
🔁 Lucas João
↦ D. Graham
C. Martin 🔁
↦ S. Malone
61′
Kevin McDonald 🟨
62′
63′
🟨 Darragh Lenihan
69′
🔁 C. Mahoney
↦ E. Bennett
79′
C. Conway 1–1
G. Cyriac 🔁
↦ S. Johansen
81′
83′
🟨 Marvin Emnes
2–1 G. Cyriac
R. Fredericks
86′
D. Odoi 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
87′
89′
🔁 L. Feeney
↦ C. Conway
90′
🟨 Lucas João
94′
Lucas João 2–2
D. Williams
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Fulham

4-3-3
27 D. Button G
3 S. Malone D
13 T. Ream D
26 T. Kalas D
30 R. Sessegnon D
24 S. Aluko M
14 S. Johansen M
6 K. McDonald M
10 T. Cairney M
7 N. Kebano M
2 R. Fredericks D
Bench (7)
25 C. Martin
9 G. Cyriac
4 D. Odoi
1 M. Bettinelli
15 M. Madl
17 R. Sigurðsson
33 T. Petsos

Coach: S. Jokanović

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
4 T. Hoban D
5 D. Williams D
24 R. Nyambe D
32 C. Conway M
23 D. Guthrie M
31 E. Bennett M
26 D. Lenihan D
6 J. Lowe M
17 M. Emnes F
12 D. Graham F
Bench (7)
18 Lucas João
28 C. Mahoney
7 L. Feeney
21 H. Akpan
27 W. Tomlinson
30 W. Brown
33 David Raya

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.