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Championship
Referee: David Coote
Blackburn
U T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Cardiff
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Championship · 34/35 matches
Win Ø 32%
26%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
47%
54%
Both score Ø 60%
65%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 20. · Cardiff 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 35 24 4 7 +40 76
2 Brighton 35 21 8 6 +27 71
3 Leeds 35 20 4 11 +14 64
4 Huddersfield 31 19 5 7 +8 62
5 Reading 32 18 6 8 +8 60
6 Sheffield Weds 33 16 7 10 +10 55
7 Fulham 32 14 11 7 +15 53
8 Norwich 35 15 7 13 +7 52
9 Preston 35 14 10 11 +3 52
10 Derby 35 14 9 12 +6 51
11 Barnsley 35 14 8 13 +3 50
12 Cardiff 35 13 7 15 -3 46
13 Aston Villa 35 11 12 12 -3 45
14 Brentford 34 12 8 14 +2 44
15 Ipswich 35 10 13 12 -7 43
16 QPR 35 12 7 16 -10 43
17 Birmingham 35 11 10 14 -15 43
18 Nott'm Forest 35 11 7 17 -9 40
19 Burton Albion 35 9 10 16 -13 37
20 Blackburn 34 9 9 16 -11 36
21 Wolves 33 9 8 16 -6 35
22 Bristol City 35 9 7 19 -8 34
23 Wigan 35 7 10 18 -11 31
24 Rotherham 35 4 5 26 -47 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Cardiff
38′
K. Zohorè 0–1
J. Hoilett
45′
🟨 Kadeem Harris
Half-time 0–1
C. Mahoney 🔁
↦ C. Conway
55′
D. Graham 🔁
↦ S. Gallagher
57′
H. Akpan 🔁
↦ D. Guthrie
66′
70′
🔁 D. John
↦ K. Harris
76′
🔁 C. Noone
↦ J. Hoilett
82′
🔁 A. Pilkington
↦ K. Zohorè
90′
🟨 Joe Bennett
1–1 D. Williams
C. Mahoney
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
14 C. Mulgrew D
5 D. Williams D
24 R. Nyambe D
32 C. Conway M
23 D. Guthrie M
7 L. Feeney M
26 D. Lenihan D
6 J. Lowe M
17 M. Emnes F
19 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
28 C. Mahoney
12 D. Graham
21 H. Akpan
31 E. Bennett
4 T. Hoban
18 Lucas João
33 David Raya

Coach: T. Mowbray

Cardiff

4-1-4-1
1 A. McGregor G
15 G. Halford M
14 S. Bamba D
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
6 J. Richards D
7 P. Whittingham M
24 K. Harris M
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett F
26 K. Zohorè F
Bench (6)
12 D. John
11 C. Noone
13 A. Pilkington
28 B. Murphy
27 I. Meite
31 M. Harris

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.