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Championship

Referee: Keith Stroud

Reading

T S S U U

3–2

Full-time

Brentford

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Brentford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Championship · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 44%

55%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

55%

53%

Both score Ø 53%

55%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 23

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 9

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reading 5. · Brentford 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	31	21	3	7	+35	66
2	Brighton	31	19	8	4	+26	65
3	Huddersfield	29	19	4	6	+10	61
4	Leeds	32	18	3	11	+11	57
5	Reading	29	16	6	7	+9	54
6	Norwich	32	15	6	11	+12	51
7	Sheffield Weds	29	14	7	8	+7	49
8	Barnsley	32	14	7	11	+6	49
9	Preston	32	13	9	10	+4	48
10	Derby	31	13	8	10	+7	47
11	Fulham	29	12	10	7	+11	46
12	Cardiff	32	12	6	14	-7	42
13	Ipswich	32	10	10	12	-7	40
14	Birmingham	32	10	10	12	-11	40
15	Brentford	30	10	7	13	+0	37
16	Aston Villa	31	8	12	11	-6	36
17	Nott'm Forest	32	10	6	16	-11	36
18	Wolves	31	9	8	14	-4	35
19	QPR	31	9	7	15	-14	34
20	Bristol City	31	9	5	17	-4	32
21	Burton Albion	31	8	7	16	-14	31
22	Wigan	31	7	8	16	-9	29
23	Blackburn	31	7	8	16	-13	29
24	Rotherham	32	4	5	23	-38	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	16	12	3	1	+24	39
2	Norwich	16	11	2	3	+21	35
3	Huddersfield	14	11	2	1	+12	35
4	Leeds	17	11	2	4	+11	35
5	Newcastle	15	10	1	4	+18	31
6	Reading	15	9	4	2	+11	31
7	Sheffield Weds	14	10	1	3	+9	31
8	Preston	17	8	4	5	+7	28
9	Nott'm Forest	15	8	3	4	+6	27
10	Derby	16	7	5	4	+7	26
11	Aston Villa	15	6	7	2	+6	25
12	Birmingham	16	7	4	5	+1	25
13	Ipswich	16	6	6	4	+2	24
14	Brentford	15	6	5	4	+9	23
15	Fulham	15	6	5	4	+4	23
16	Bristol City	15	7	2	6	+2	23
17	Barnsley	16	6	5	5	+1	23
18	Cardiff	16	7	2	7	-2	23
19	Burton Albion	15	6	2	7	+0	20
20	Blackburn	16	5	5	6	-2	20
21	Rotherham	16	4	4	8	-5	16
22	QPR	16	4	4	8	-9	16
23	Wolves	15	4	3	8	-6	15
24	Wigan	15	3	4	8	-6	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	16	11	2	3	+17	35
2	Barnsley	16	8	2	6	+5	26
3	Brighton	15	7	5	3	+2	26
4	Huddersfield	15	8	2	5	-2	26
5	Fulham	14	6	5	3	+7	23
6	Reading	14	7	2	5	-2	23
7	Leeds	15	7	1	7	+0	22
8	Derby	15	6	3	6	+0	21
9	Wolves	16	5	5	6	+2	20
10	Preston	15	5	5	5	-3	20
11	Cardiff	16	5	4	7	-5	19
12	Sheffield Weds	15	4	6	5	-2	18
13	QPR	15	5	3	7	-5	18
14	Wigan	16	4	4	8	-3	16
15	Norwich	16	4	4	8	-9	16
16	Ipswich	16	4	4	8	-9	16
17	Birmingham	16	3	6	7	-12	15
18	Brentford	15	4	2	9	-9	14
19	Aston Villa	16	2	5	9	-12	11
20	Burton Albion	16	2	5	9	-14	11
21	Bristol City	16	2	3	11	-6	9
22	Blackburn	15	2	3	10	-11	9
23	Nott'm Forest	17	2	3	12	-17	9
24	Rotherham	16	0	1	15	-33	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.