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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Ipswich
S T S U T
0–0
Full-time
Brighton
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
22%
33%
Both score Ø 22%
33%
11%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ipswich 14. · Brighton 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 9 6 2 1 +6 20
2 Huddersfield 9 6 1 2 +4 19
3 Brighton 9 5 2 2 +6 17
4 Reading 9 5 2 2 +0 17
5 Newcastle 9 5 1 3 +10 16
6 Birmingham 9 4 4 1 +4 16
7 Barnsley 9 5 0 4 +6 15
8 Wolves 9 4 3 2 +3 15
9 Brentford 9 4 2 3 +6 14
10 Bristol City 9 4 2 3 +5 14
11 Sheffield Weds 9 4 2 3 -1 14
12 Leeds 9 4 1 4 -1 13
13 Fulham 9 3 4 2 -2 13
14 Ipswich 9 3 3 3 +0 12
15 Nott'm Forest 9 3 2 4 -2 11
16 QPR 9 3 2 4 -4 11
17 Aston Villa 9 1 6 2 +0 9
18 Burton Albion 9 2 3 4 -2 9
19 Preston 9 3 0 6 -4 9
20 Blackburn 9 2 2 5 -6 8
21 Cardiff 9 2 2 5 -7 8
22 Derby 9 1 3 5 -6 6
23 Rotherham 9 1 3 5 -12 6
24 Wigan 9 1 2 6 -3 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Brighton
Tom Lawrence 🟨
24′
37′
🟨 Oliver Norwood
42′
🟨 Dale Stephens
Half-time 0–0
Luke Chambers 🟨
59′
Jonathan Douglas 🟨
61′
F. Sears 🔁
↦ L. Best
61′
C. Grant 🔁
↦ K. Bru
66′
72′
🔁 S. Sidwell
↦ T. Hemed
72′
🔁 J. Murphy
↦ J. Skalák
T. Bishop 🔁
↦ G. Ward
79′
82′
🟨 Dale Stephens
82′
🟥 Dale Stephens
Josh Emmanuel 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 Glenn Murray
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
6 C. Berra D
4 L. Chambers D
3 J. Knudsen D
29 J. Emmanuel D
22 J. Douglas M
17 K. Bru M
8 C. Skuse M
27 T. Lawrence M
18 G. Ward M
9 L. Best F
Bench (7)
20 F. Sears
28 C. Grant
7 T. Bishop
1 D. Gerken
14 P. Digby
23 A. Dozzell
30 M. Kenlock

Coach: M. McCarthy

Brighton

4-4-2
13 D. Stockdale
12 S. Pocognoli D
2 Bruno Saltor D
22 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
6 D. Stephens M
21 O. Norwood M
8 J. Skalák M
11 A. Knockaert M
17 G. Murray F
10 T. Hemed F
Bench (7)
14 S. Sidwell
15 J. Murphy
1 N. Mäenpää
9 S. Baldock
18 C. Goldson
19 E. Manu
42 R. Hunt

Coach: C. Hughton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.