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Championship
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Reading
T T U S S
0–0
Full-time
Birmingham
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 12. · Birmingham 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 7 5 1 1 +4 16
2 Newcastle 7 5 0 2 +12 15
3 Barnsley 7 5 0 2 +9 15
4 Norwich 7 4 2 1 +3 14
5 Fulham 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Brighton 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Birmingham 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Ipswich 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Brentford 6 3 1 2 +3 10
10 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 +2 10
11 Nott'm Forest 6 3 1 2 +0 10
12 Reading 6 3 1 2 -2 10
13 QPR 7 3 1 3 -3 10
14 Burton Albion 7 2 3 2 +1 9
15 Wolves 7 2 3 2 -1 9
16 Sheffield Weds 6 2 2 2 -2 8
17 Leeds 7 2 1 4 -4 7
18 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 +0 6
19 Preston 7 2 0 5 +0 6
20 Derby 7 1 2 4 -5 5
21 Cardiff 7 1 2 4 -6 5
22 Rotherham 6 1 2 3 -9 5
23 Wigan 7 1 1 5 -2 4
24 Blackburn 7 0 2 5 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Birmingham
Half-time 0–0
68′
🔁 J. Maghoma
↦ R. Tesche
J. Swift 🔁
↦ S. Quinn
72′
76′
🔁 C. Donaldson
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
81′
🔁 D. Fabbrini
↦ Che Adams
C. Harriott 🔁
↦ G. McCleary
82′
J. Mendes 🔁
↦ R. Beerens
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Reading

4-3-3
26 Ali Al Habsi G
5 P. McShane D
2 C. Gunter D
16 L. Moore D
7 R. Beerens F
21 S. Quinn M
23 D. Williams M
11 J. Obita D
6 G. Evans M
18 Y. Kermorgant F
12 G. McCleary M
Bench (6)
8 J. Swift
15 C. Harriott
9 J. Mendes
24 T. Blackett
30 T. Watson
31 A. Jaakkola

Coach: J. Stam

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
1 A. Legzdins G
23 J. Spector
3 J. Grounds D
5 R. Shotton D
28 M. Morrison D
11 D. Cotterill M
7 R. Tesche M
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
26 D. Davis M
14 Che Adams F
15 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
19 J. Maghoma
9 C. Donaldson
10 D. Fabbrini
4 P. Robinson
18 R. Brown
20 G. Stewart
27 C. Trueman

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.