Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Championship

Referee: Andy Madley

Newcastle

S U S T T

4–1

Full-time

Reading

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Newcastle Reading

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

1 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Newcastle 22. · Reading 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Norwich	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	QPR	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Brentford	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Wolves	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Wigan	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Aston Villa	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Ipswich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Sheffield Weds	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Derby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Burton Albion	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Barnsley	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Reading	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Nott'm Forest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Cardiff	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Leeds	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Rotherham	3	0	1	2	-6	1
22	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Preston	3	0	0	3	-3	0
24	Blackburn	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Wigan	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Norwich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Burton Albion	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Derby	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sheffield Weds	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Ipswich	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Rotherham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.