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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
Fulham
T U T T S
1–0
Full-time
Newcastle
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
5 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fulham Newcastle
Denis Odoi 🟨
10′
1–0 M. Smith
T. Cairney
45′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 R. Aarons
↦ J. Colback
68′
🟨 Grant Hanley
L. Christensen 🔁
↦ M. Smith
69′
S. Parker 🔁
↦ R. Tunnicliffe
69′
70′
🔁 A. Armstrong
↦ Ayoze Pérez
75′
🟨 Paul Dummett
77′
🔁 J. Shelvey
↦ I. Hayden
T. Ream 🔁
↦ S. Malone
85′
90′
🟨 Daryl Janmaat
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
27 D. Button G
15 M. Madl D
4 D. Odoi D
3 S. Malone D
26 T. Kalas D
24 S. Aluko M
6 K. McDonald M
11 F. Ayité F
10 T. Cairney M
19 R. Tunnicliffe M
9 M. Smith F
Bench (7)
21 L. Christensen
8 S. Parker
13 T. Ream
37 A. Edun
5 R. Stearman
16 C. Woodrow
41 J. Joronen

Coach: S. Jokanović

Newcastle

4-4-1-1
28 M. Sels G
22 D. Janmaat D
5 G. Hanley D
6 J. Lascelles D
3 P. Dummett D
14 I. Hayden M
8 V. Anita M
4 J. Colback M
11 M. Ritchie M
9 D. Gayle F
17 Ayoze Pérez F
Bench (7)
16 R. Aarons
32 A. Armstrong
12 J. Shelvey
42 J. Sterry
26 K. Darlow
18 C. Mbemba
27 Jesús Gámez

Coach: Rafael Benítez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.