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Championship

Referee: Graham Salisbury

Hull

S U

2–1

Full-time

Fulham

U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hull 8. · Fulham 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ipswich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Milton Keynes Dons	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Middlesbrough	3	1	2	0	+3	5
5	Charlton	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Preston	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Hull	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Wolves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Cardiff	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Derby	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Blackburn	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Burnley	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Huddersfield	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Reading	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	QPR	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Rotherham	3	0	1	2	-4	1
23	Bolton	3	0	1	2	-4	1
24	Bristol City	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ipswich	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Nott'm Forest	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milton Keynes Dons	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Huddersfield	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Derby	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Blackburn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Rotherham	2	0	1	1	-3	1
23	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Preston	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Middlesbrough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Charlton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	QPR	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Bolton	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Fulham

1–0 Ahmed El Mohamady ⚽

A. Robertson

34′

35′

🟨 Ben Pringle

Half-time 1–0

47′

🔁 A. Lonergan

↦ M. Bettinelli

47′

🔁 M. Dembélé

↦ M. Smith

60′

🟨 Nikolay Bodurov

S. Clucas 🔁

↦ A. Hernández

66′

69′

⚽ T. Cairney 1–1

L. Christensen

N. Jelavić 🔁

↦ C. Akpom

72′

I. Hayden 🔁

↦ T. Huddlestone

78′

2–1 S. Aluko ⚽

N. Jelavić

86′

87′

🔁 A. Kačaniklić

↦ B. Pringle

90′

🟨 Jamie O'Hara

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hull

1 A. McGregor G

21 M. Dawson D

6 C. Davies D

A. Robertson D

8 T. Huddlestone M

24 S. Aluko M

27 Ahmed El Mohamady D

7 D. Meyler M

2 M. Odubajo D

9 A. Hernández F

C. Akpom F

Bench (7)

11 S. Clucas

18 N. Jelavić

20 I. Hayden

5 R. Taylor

12 H. Maguire

16 E. Jakupovic

32 G. Luer

Fulham

M. Bettinelli G

15 K. Voser D

6 N. Bodurov D

2 A. Richards D

4 S. Hutchinson D

23 J. O'Hara M

18 B. Pringle M

10 T. Cairney M

21 L. Christensen M

44 R. McCormack F

9 M. Smith F

Bench (7)

24 A. Lonergan

25 M. Dembélé

11 A. Kačaniklić

16 C. Woodrow

19 R. Tunnicliffe

32 S. Kavanagh

33 D. Burn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

16. Aug CH 11 years ago

8. Aug CH 11 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Hull

Fulham

Odds comparison

Recent matches