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Championship
Referee: Gavin Ward
Bristol City
T T
2–2
Full-time
Leeds
U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
3,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
3,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Bristol City 24. · Leeds 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ipswich 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Milton Keynes Dons 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 +3 5
5 Charlton 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Preston 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Hull 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Wolves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Nott'm Forest 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Cardiff 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Derby 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Leeds 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Blackburn 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Burnley 3 0 2 1 -2 2
18 Huddersfield 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Fulham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Reading 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 QPR 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Rotherham 3 0 1 2 -4 1
23 Bolton 3 0 1 2 -4 1
24 Bristol City 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Leeds
Ryan Fredericks 🟨
3′
37′
🟨 Tom Adeyemi
Ben Hamer 🟨
39′
39′
⚽ M. Antenucci 0–1
Half-time 0–2
52′
⚽ C. Wood 0–2
M. Antenucci
53′
🟨 Sol Bamba
W. Burns 🔁
↦ R. Fredericks
55′
B. Reid 🔁
↦ C. Robinson
57′
65′
🔁 A. Mowatt
↦ M. Antenucci
70′
🟨 Sam Byram
K. Agard 🔁
↦ J. Kodjia
71′
84′
🔁 G. Berardi
↦ S. Byram
1–2 K. Agard ⚽
B. Reid
89′
90′
🟨 Scott Wootton
2–2 A. Flint ⚽
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bristol City

19 B. Hamer G
4 A. Flint D
5 L. Ayling D
3 D. Williams D
7 K. Smith M
21 M. Pack M
23 J. Bryan D
12 R. Fredericks D
18 A. Wilbraham F
22 J. Kodjia F
8 C. Robinson M
Bench (7)
20 W. Burns
14 B. Reid
10 K. Agard
2 M. Little
6 Adam El-Abd
11 S. Wagstaff
24 M. O’Leary

Leeds

1 M. Silvestri G
5 G. Bellusci D
3 S. Bamba D
4 S. Wootton D
21 C. Taylor D
2 S. Byram M
24 T. Adeyemi M
15 S. Dallas M
27 K. Phillips M
7 M. Antenucci F
9 C. Wood F
Bench (7)
10 A. Mowatt
28 G. Berardi
8 L. Murphy
11 S. Doukara
19 L. Erwin
22 R. Turnbull
6 L. Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gavin Ward · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.