Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cardiff
Huddersfield
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | +39 | 54 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | +39 | 50 |
| 3 |
Tottenham
|
21 | 16 | 0 | 5 | +25 | 48 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | +22 | 44 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +14 | 41 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +11 | 38 |
| 7 |
Leicester
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | +2 | 31 |
| 8 |
West Ham
|
22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 |
Wolves
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 29 |
| 11 |
Everton
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +0 | 27 |
| 12 |
Bournemouth
|
21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | -9 | 27 |
| 13 |
Brighton
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 26 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 |
Newcastle
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 |
Burnley
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -21 | 18 |
| 17 |
Cardiff
|
21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -22 | 18 |
| 18 |
Southampton
|
21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -17 | 16 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -28 | 14 |
| 20 |
Huddersfield
|
21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | -24 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: N. Warnock
F. Hadergjonaj
D
P. Billing
M
Coach: D. Wagner
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cardiff
Tottenham
Leicester
Cardiff
Crystal Palace
Cardiff
Cardiff
Man United
Watford
Cardiff
Lee Mason · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.