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OBOS-ligaen
Notodden
T T S T U
2–3
Full-time
Nest-Sotra
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notodden Nest-Sotra
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
22%
39%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
61%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Notodden 15. · Nest-Sotra 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 18 15 2 1 +24 47
2 Start 18 12 2 4 +14 38
3 Sandefjord 18 11 5 2 +11 38
4 KFUM Oslo 18 9 4 5 +10 31
5 Raufoss 18 10 1 7 -1 31
6 Sogndal 18 8 3 7 +7 27
7 Kongsvinger 18 8 3 7 -1 27
8 Nest-Sotra 18 7 5 6 +6 26
9 Sandnes ULF 18 6 5 7 +1 23
10 Jerv 18 5 7 6 -7 22
11 Ull/Kisa 18 6 3 9 +3 21
12 Ham-Kam 18 5 5 8 -5 20
13 Strommen 18 3 7 8 -9 16
14 Skeid 18 3 6 9 -6 15
15 Notodden 18 4 2 12 -12 14
16 Tromsdalen Uil 18 1 2 15 -35 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Notodden Nest-Sotra
1–0 S. Jenssen
8′
10′
🟨 J. Izuchukwu
30′
E. Hustad 1–1
Half-time 1–1
G. Salasiwa 🟨
46′
2–1 M. Tagbajumi
55′
56′
A. Heggebø 2–2
62′
🔁 J. Aas
↦ A. Heggebø
68′
J. Aas 2–3
E. Johansen 🔁
↦ J. Robson
70′
E. Midtgarden 🔁
↦ G. Salasiwa
74′
M. Tagbajumi 🟨
85′
M. Langset 🔁
↦ A. Bakke
88′
90′
🟨 E. Hustad
90′
🔁 T. Økland
↦ J. De Souza
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Notodden

12 E. Vasby
5 S. Jenssen
18 J. Robson
6 M. Ledger
14 M. Olsen
23 G. Salasiwa
11 M. Holmen
21 K. Tøsse
33 M. Tagbajumi
9 M. Brekke
22 A. Bakke
Bench (7)
2 E. Johansen
10 E. Midtgarden
24 M. Langset
4 M. Strange
15 E. Hagen
25 S. Hansen
30 B. Grøtterud

Coach: K. Dokken

Nest-Sotra

1 R. Fij
5 B. Haugsdal
3 D. Arrocha
2 E. Larsen
26 I. Anthony
29 K. Stephensen
6 P. Nergard
21 M. Sande
10 E. Hustad
19 A. Heggebø
20 J. De Souza
Bench (4)
7 J. Aas
14 T. Økland
17 V. Radojkic
99 M. Pettersen

Coach: S. Landro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.