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OBOS-ligaen
Notodden
T S U T S
1–2
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Notodden Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Notodden 8. · Kongsvinger 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 11 8 1 2 +14 25
2 Sogndal 12 7 3 2 +9 24
3 Mjondalen 12 6 4 2 +5 22
4 Viking 12 6 1 5 +3 19
5 Jerv 12 5 4 3 +2 19
6 Ull/Kisa 12 5 3 4 +6 18
7 Sandnes ULF 12 5 3 4 +0 18
8 Notodden 12 5 2 5 +1 17
9 Ham-Kam 13 4 4 5 +0 16
10 Nest-Sotra 13 5 1 7 -1 16
11 Kongsvinger 12 5 1 6 -3 16
12 Asane 12 4 3 5 -2 15
13 Tromsdalen Uil 12 4 3 5 -5 15
14 Levanger 12 3 2 7 -7 11
15 Strommen 12 3 1 8 -4 10
16 Floro 11 2 2 7 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Notodden Kongsvinger
24′
O. Øby 0–1
1–1 M. Brekke
28′
44′
A. Güven 1–2
Half-time 1–2
K. Tøsse 🔁
↦ H. Gustavsen
46′
J. Robson 🔁
↦ E. Johansen
66′
70′
🔁 M. Aanesland
↦ A. Güven
78′
🔁 C. Røer
↦ F. Sjølstad
A. Hoven 🔁
↦ Filipe Ferreira
83′
84′
🔁 E. Bydal
↦ Marlinho
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Notodden

1 J. Johansson
14 J. Asp
5 S. Jenssen
2 E. Johansen
6 M. Ledger
11 M. Holmen
8 H. Gustavsen
17 Filipe Ferreira
10 E. Midtgarden
9 M. Brekke
27 E. Hustad
Bench (7)
21 K. Tøsse
18 J. Robson
19 A. Hoven
4 M. Strange
12 E. Vasby
3 Jeffrey Perez
20 A. Mbedule

Coach: K. Dokken

Kongsvinger

27 T. Trautner
3 E. Skagestad
19 M. Lundal
18 I. Mafi
2 F. Pålerud
23 F. Sjølstad
11 O. Øby
15 Marlinho
9 A. Güven
7 N. Castro
26 S. Ibrahim
Bench (7)
13 M. Aanesland
5 C. Røer
20 E. Bydal
12 M. Vinjor
22 L. Langrekken
24 R. Essaeh
25 S. Thomas

Coach: K. Sokołowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.