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DBU Pokalen
0–5
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hedensted Marienlyst
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 HIK 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Sydkysten 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Frederikssund 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Avarta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Munkebo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Frem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Skovshoved 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Viby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 ASA Aarhus 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Vejgaard B 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Morud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Holbæk B&I 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Ishøj 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Boldklubben FIX 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 GVI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
46 Køge Nord 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Kolding B 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Aarhus Black Vipers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 tst Fodbold 1 0 0 1 -5 0
52 Handelsstandens 1 0 0 1 -5 0
53 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -6 0
54 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
55 Aabybro 1 0 0 1 -8 0
56 Glamsbjerg 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hedensted Marienlyst
23′
M. Lorentzen 0–1
40′
M. Danielsen 0–2
Half-time 0–3
64′
A. Stage 0–3
69′
L. L. Gronholt 0–4
89′
M. Danielsen 0–5
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Hedensted

Coach: N. Givskov

Marienlyst

Coach: L. Spinner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.