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Champions League
Referee: Marton Rusz
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Universitatea Craiova ML Vitebsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,8
5,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
4,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
4 Shots 1
1 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Corners 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Universitatea Craiova ML Vitebsk
Assad Al-Hamlawi 🟨
39′
Monday Etim 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Heriberto Tavares 🔁
↦ M. Etim
46′
S. Elisor 🔁
↦ A. Al Hamlawi
46′
N. Stevanovic 🔁
↦ O. Romanchuk
46′
53′
🔁 T. Ivanov
↦ A. Mesarovic
56′
🔁 S. Gnaka
↦ V. Bocherov
56′
🔁 I. Moskalenchik
↦ S. Balanovich
N. Bancu 🔁
↦ T. Baluta
73′
76′
🔁 V. Zhuk
↦ Y. Skibskiy
77′
🔁 S. Nicholson
↦ V. Gromyko
Adrian Rus 🟨
86′
A. Mekvabishvili 🔁
↦ Teles
87′
1–0 N. Bancu
A. Mekvabishvili
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Universitatea Craiova

3-4-3
21 L. Popescu G
3 O. Romanchuk D
28 A. Rus D
15 J. Badelj D
17 C. Mora M
20 A. Cicaldau M
8 T. Baluta M
23 Teles M
12 M. Etim F
9 A. Al Hamlawi F
10 S. Baiaram F
Bench (12)
1 A. Maxim
90 R. Sava
4 A. Cretu
5 A. Mekvabishvili
6 V. Screciu
7 S. Nsimba
11 N. Bancu
19 Heriberto Tavares
22 S. Elisor
24 N. Stevanovic
29 L. Basceanu
30 D. Matei

Coach: Filipe Coelho

ML Vitebsk

4-1-4-1
1 P. Pavlyuchenko G
23 S. Balanovich M
20 Z. Volkov D
6 K. Gomanov D
22 Y. Skibskiy M
15 V. Bocherov M
10 D. Cleonise M
55 V. Gromyko M
27 A. Mesarovic M
12 R. Bosic M
80 A. Kontsevoy M
Bench (7)
30 P. Shcherbachenya
3 N. Baranok
7 T. Ivanov
8 S. Gnaka
11 S. Nicholson
18 V. Zhuk
45 I. Moskalenchik

Coach: Mikhail Martinovich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.