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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Milan
U S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
56%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
67%
89%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,9
4,4
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,71 xG 0,71
56% Possession 44%
18 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Feb -25 Feyenoord – Milan 1–0

Match report

Milan Feyenoord
1–0 S. Giménez ⚽
M. Thiaw
1′
22′
🟨 Jakub Moder
Theo Hernández 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
Theo Hernández 🟨
51′
Theo Hernández 🟥
51′
D. Bartesaghi 🔁
↦ C. Pulišić
63′
64′
🔁 J. Carranza
↦ Z. Redmond
Y. Fofana 🔁
↦ S. Giménez
71′
73′
⚽ J. Carranza 1–1
Hugo Bueno
75′
🔁 C. Stengs
↦ Hugo Bueno
João Félix 🟨
76′
S. Chukwueze 🔁
↦ Y. Musah
82′
T. Abraham 🔁
↦ T. Reijnders
83′
87′
🔁 J. Mitchell
↦ A. Hadj Moussa
93′
🟨 Jeyland Mitchell
Rafael Leão 🟨
97′
97′
🟥 Givairo Read
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
32 K. Walker D
28 M. Thiaw D
31 S. Pavlović D
19 T. Hernández D
80 Y. Musah M
14 T. Reijnders M
11 C. Pulišić M
79 João Félix M
10 Rafael Leão M
7 S. Giménez F
Bench (10)
33 D. Bartesaghi
29 Y. Fofana
21 S. Chukwueze
90 T. Abraham
46 M. Gabbia
96 L. Torriani
73 F. Camarda
23 F. Tomori
42 F. Terracciano
57 M. Sportiello

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
26 G. Read D
3 T. Beelen D
33 D. Hancko D
5 G. Smal D
27 A. Milambo M
7 J. Moder M
16 Hugo Bueno M
23 A. Hadj Moussa F
49 Z. Redmond F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (11)
19 J. Carranza
10 C. Stengs
20 J. Mitchell
44 T. van den Elshout
48 D. Giersthove
38 I. Osman
21 P. Andreev
64 I. Ka
57 A. Sliti
17 L. Ivanušec
25 S. 't Zand

Coach: P. Bosschaart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.