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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Chelsea
U T T T S
2–0
Full-time
Dortmund
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,5
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,97 xG 0,94
40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
6 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Feb -23 Dortmund – Chelsea 1–0

Match report

Chelsea Dortmund
5′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ J. Brandt
41′
🟨 Niklas Süle
1–0 R. Sterling ⚽
43′
Half-time 1–0
Ben Chilwell ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
48′
2–0 K. Havertz ⚽
53′
64′
🔁 J. Bynoe-Gittens
↦ S. Özcan
Kepa Arrizabalaga 🟨
65′
C. Gallagher 🔁
↦ João Félix
67′
Enzo Fernández 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ S. Haller
R. Loftus-Cheek 🔁
↦ R. Sterling
82′
C. Pulišić 🔁
↦ M. Kovačić
83′
D. Zakaria 🔁
↦ E. Fernández
87′
Ben Chilwell 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Marius Wolf
Marc Cucurella 🟨
96′
98′
🟨 Jude Bellingham
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-4-3
1 Kepa G
33 W. Fofana D
26 K. Koulibaly D
32 Marc Cucurella D
24 R. James M
5 E. Fernández M
8 M. Kovačić M
21 B. Chilwell M
17 R. Sterling F
29 K. Havertz F
11 João Félix F
Bench (11)
23 C. Gallagher
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
10 C. Pulišić
20 D. Zakaria
22 H. Ziyech
47 L. Bergström
67 L. Hall
14 T. Chalobah
13 M. Bettinelli
15 M. Mudryk
30 C. Chukwuemeka

Coach: G. Potter

Dortmund

4-1-4-1
33 A. Meyer G
17 M. Wolf D
25 N. Süle D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
23 E. Can M
19 J. Brandt M
22 J. Bellingham M
6 S. Özcan M
11 M. Reus M
9 S. Haller F
Bench (12)
7 G. Reyna
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens
21 D. Malen
8 M. Dahoud
15 M. Hummels
44 S. Coulibaly
1 G. Kobel
38 L. Unbehaun
24 T. Meunier
36 T. Rothe
20 A. Modeste
30 F. Passlack

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.