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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Norwich
U T T S T
0–3
Full-time
Southampton
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Premier League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
17%
34%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
48%
62%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 22
1 Shots on target 9
5 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 20. · Southampton 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 29 27 1 1 +45 82
2 Man City 29 19 3 7 +40 60
3 Leicester 29 16 5 8 +30 53
4 Chelsea 29 14 6 9 +12 48
5 Man United 29 12 9 8 +14 45
6 Sheffield United 29 11 11 7 +5 44
7 Wolves 29 10 13 6 +7 43
8 Tottenham 29 11 8 10 +7 41
9 Arsenal 29 9 13 7 +1 40
10 Burnley 29 11 6 12 -6 39
11 Crystal Palace 29 10 9 10 -6 39
12 Everton 29 10 7 12 -9 37
13 Newcastle 29 9 8 12 -16 35
14 Southampton 29 10 4 15 -17 34
15 Brighton 29 6 11 12 -8 29
16 West Ham 29 7 6 16 -15 27
17 Watford 29 6 9 14 -17 27
18 Bournemouth 29 7 6 16 -18 27
19 Aston Villa 29 7 5 17 -22 26
20 Norwich 29 5 6 18 -27 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Southampton
Half-time 0–1
49′
D. Ings 0–1
S. Armstrong
54′
S. Armstrong 0–2
D. Ings
O. Hernández 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
62′
M. Vrančić 🔁
↦ T. Trybull
62′
73′
🟨 Danny Ings
79′
N. Redmond 0–3
M. Obafemi
O. Duda 🔁
↦ T. Pukki
80′
A. Idah 🔁
↦ E. Buendía
80′
82′
🔁 C. Adams
↦ M. Obafemi
82′
🔁 W. Smallbone
↦ S. Armstrong
88′
🔁 N. Tella
↦ D. Ings
J. Martin 🔁
↦ J. Drmic
89′
Max Aarons 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 K. Walker-Peters
↦ Y. Valery
90′
🔁 S. Boufal
↦ N. Redmond
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Norwich

4-4-2
1 T. Krul G
15 T. Klose D
4 B. Godfrey D
12 J. Lewis D
2 M. Aarons D
23 K. McLean M
19 T. Trybull M
17 E. Buendía M
14 T. Cantwell M
22 T. Pukki F
20 J. Drmic F
Bench (9)
11 O. Hernández
8 M. Vrančić
25 O. Duda
35 A. Idah
56 J. Martin
33 M. McGovern
7 L. Rupp
10 M. Leitner
27 A. Tettey

Coach: D. Farke

Southampton

4-4-2
1 A. McCarthy G
21 R. Bertrand D
5 J. Stephens D
35 J. Bednarek D
43 Y. Valery D
17 S. Armstrong M
22 N. Redmond M
23 P. Højbjerg M
16 J. Ward-Prowse M
9 D. Ings F
20 M. Obafemi F
Bench (9)
10 C. Adams
27 W. Smallbone
52 N. Tella
24 K. Walker-Peters
19 S. Boufal
14 Oriol Romeu
4 J. Vestergaard
28 A. Gunn
38 K. Danso

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,84
U
3,40
B ✓
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.