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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Genk
U U T S U
0–0
Full-time
Antwerp
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 39%
41%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
59%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
70%
46%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,67 xG 0,68
62% Possession 38%
34 Shots 13
13 Shots on target 1
13 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 12
11 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 4. · Antwerp 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 28 23 1 4 +38 +21.3 70
2 St. Gilloise 28 18 8 2 +28 +23.0 62
3 St Truiden 28 16 4 8 +14 +14.6 52
4 Genk 27 11 9 7 +7 +10.8 42
5 Mechelen 28 11 9 8 -1 -12.2 42
6 Gent 27 11 7 9 +3 +2.6 40
7 Waregem 30 12 4 14 -1 -4.9 40
8 Cercle Brugge 30 10 7 13 -2 +3.7 37
9 Standard 28 10 7 11 -6 -11.5 37
10 Anderlecht 28 9 8 11 -2 -1.3 35
11 Antwerp 28 10 5 13 -4 -0.1 35
12 Westerlo 28 9 8 11 -7 -1.0 35
13 Charleroi 28 9 5 14 -4 -4.5 32
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 6 8 14 -15 -9.3 26
15 RAAL La Louviere 30 5 10 15 -17 -10.8 25
16 Dender 31 4 6 21 -32 -20.1 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Antwerp
Half-time 0–0
J. Erabi 🔁
↦ R. Mirisola
46′
61′
🔁 A. Valencia
↦ G. Hairemans
61′
🔁 G. Kerk
↦ G. Vandeplas
Y. Sor 🔁
↦ A. Yokoyama
71′
A. De Wannemacker 🔁
↦ N. Sattlberger
71′
72′
🔁 E. Tuypens
↦ T. Somers
72′
🔁 S. Renders
↦ D. Foulon
75′
🟨 Yuto Tsunashima
78′
🟨 Eran Tuypens
81′
🔁 M. Fofana
M. Sadick 🔁
↦ M. Smets
90′
J. Steuckers 🔁
↦ J. Ito
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
28 L. Brughmans G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
6 M. Smets D
44 J. Kongolo D
18 J. Kayembe D
24 N. Sattlberger M
8 B. Heynen M
10 J. Ito M
29 R. Mirisola M
30 A. Yokoyama M
23 A. Bibout F
Bench (9)
26 T. Lawal
27 K. Nkuba
14 Y. Sor
56 A. De Wannemacker
3 M. Sadick
99 J. Erabi
7 J. Steuckers
34 A. Palacios
19 Y. Medina

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Antwerp

3-4-2-1
41 T. Nozawa G
4 Y. Tsunashima D
6 J. Ahoka D
20 R. Van Helden D
24 T. Somers M
16 M. Benitez M
78 X. Dierckx M
5 D. Foulon M
11 G. Hairemans F
30 C. Scott F
79 G. Vandeplas F
Bench (9)
15 Y. Thoelen
14 A. Valencia
7 G. Kerk
56 E. Tuypens
17 S. Renders
22 F. Adekami
82 L. Van Gelder
70 L. Schelfhout
58 M. Fofana

Coach: Faris Haroun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U ✓
4,15
B
5,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.