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Primeira Liga
Referee: Anzhony Rodrigues
Gil Vicente
S S T T T
0–2
Full-time
Famalicao
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 53%
57%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,42 xG 2,02
54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gil Vicente 14. · Famalicao 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 22 16 4 2 +41 +33.8 52
2 Benfica 22 16 2 4 +32 +26.2 50
3 Porto 22 14 4 4 +28 +22.4 46
4 Sp Braga 22 13 5 4 +18 +14.9 44
5 Santa Clara 22 12 2 8 +2 +7.1 38
6 Casa Pia 22 9 6 7 +1 -5.1 33
7 Guimaraes 22 7 10 5 +5 +7.8 31
8 Estoril 22 8 7 7 -6 -15.6 31
9 Moreirense 22 7 5 10 -5 +1.1 26
10 Rio Ave 22 6 8 8 -12 -15.7 26
11 Famalicao 21 5 10 6 -2 -6.6 25
12 Arouca 22 6 6 10 -13 -9.1 24
13 Nacional 22 6 5 11 -9 -3.7 23
14 Gil Vicente 21 5 7 9 -9 -7.9 22
15 Estrela 22 5 5 12 -15 -13.4 20
16 AVS 22 3 10 9 -15 -10.8 19
17 Farense 22 3 6 13 -18 -15.6 15
18 Boavista 22 2 6 14 -23 -10.1 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Famalicao
45′
J. de Haas 0–1
Gustavo Sá
Half-time 0–1
Santi García 🟨
47′
60′
V. Sejk 0–2
Óscar Aranda
João Marques 🔁
↦ Santi García
67′
T. Touré 🔁
↦ Sergio Bermejo
67′
69′
🔁 Rochinha
↦ Óscar Aranda
69′
🔁 M. Topić
↦ M. De Amorim
74′
🟨 Rodrigo Pinheiro
79′
🔁 S. Elisor
↦ V. Sejk
79′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ Sorriso
86′
🔁 Samuel Lobato
↦ Gustavo Sá
88′
🟨 Gil Dias
Joao Marques 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-1-4-1
42 Andrew G
2 Zé Carlos D
23 Josué Sá D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
57 Sandro Cruz D
6 J. Castillo M
22 Sergio Bermejo M
19 Santi García M
10 K. Fujimoto M
71 Félix Correia M
29 Carlos Eduardo F
Bench (8)
33 João Marques
7 T. Touré
99 Brian Araújo
77 Jordi Mboula
28 Diogo Costa
88 Kazu
45 J. Mutombo
4 M. Elimbi

Coach: Bruno Pinheiro

Famalicao

4-2-3-1
25 L. Carević G
17 Rodrigo Pinheiro D
3 L. Realpe D
16 J. de Haas D
5 Rafa Soares D
6 T. van de Looi M
14 M. De Amorim M
7 Sorriso M
20 Gustavo Sá M
11 Óscar Aranda M
29 V. Sejk F
Bench (9)
10 Rochinha
8 M. Topić
12 S. Elisor
23 Gil Dias
88 Samuel Lobato
22 Gabriel
55 I. Ba
15 O. Mamageishvili
13 Pedro Francisco

Coach: Hugo Oliveira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
2,97
B ✓
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Anzhony Rodrigues · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.