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Serie A

Referee: L Pairetto

Monza

S S T S T

1–2

Full-time

Bologna

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 23%

27%

18%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 50%

36%

64%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monza 15. · Bologna 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Atalanta	12	8	3	1	+10	27
3	Milan	12	8	2	2	+12	26
4	Roma	12	8	1	3	+5	25
5	Lazio	12	7	3	2	+16	24
6	Inter	12	8	0	4	+8	24
7	Juventus	12	6	4	2	+11	22
8	Udinese	12	6	4	2	+8	22
9	Torino	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	Salernitana	12	4	4	4	-1	16
11	Sassuolo	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Fiorentina	12	3	4	5	-4	13
13	Empoli	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	Bologna	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	Monza	11	3	1	7	-9	10
16	Spezia	12	2	3	7	-12	9
17	Lecce	12	1	5	6	-6	8
18	Sampdoria	12	1	3	8	-15	6
19	Verona	12	1	2	9	-13	5
20	Cremonese	12	0	5	7	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Inter	6	5	0	1	+10	15
3	Milan	6	5	0	1	+9	15
4	Juventus	6	4	2	0	+12	14
5	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+6	13
6	Udinese	6	3	2	1	+6	11
7	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Sassuolo	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Salernitana	6	3	1	2	+4	10
10	Roma	5	3	0	2	+3	9
11	Bologna	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Spezia	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Torino	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Fiorentina	6	2	2	2	-2	8
15	Monza	5	2	0	3	-1	6
16	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Lecce	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Verona	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Cremonese	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Atalanta	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Roma	7	5	1	1	+2	16
4	Lazio	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Milan	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Udinese	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Inter	6	3	0	3	-2	9
8	Torino	6	3	0	3	-2	9
9	Juventus	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-4	6
11	Salernitana	6	1	3	2	-5	6
12	Fiorentina	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Sassuolo	6	1	2	3	-7	5
14	Lecce	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Monza	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-8	4
17	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	Verona	6	0	2	4	-6	2
19	Bologna	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Spezia	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.