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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Mallorca
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Osasuna
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
41%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
41%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
64%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,24 xG 1,50
46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 11
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 11
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 10. · Osasuna 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 23 15 5 3 +29 +24.2 50
2 Ath Madrid 23 14 7 2 +23 +19.6 49
3 Barcelona 23 15 3 5 +39 +27.7 48
4 Ath Bilbao 23 12 8 3 +16 +14.1 44
5 Villarreal 23 11 7 5 +12 +15.4 40
6 Vallecano 23 9 8 6 +3 +2.0 35
7 Sociedad 23 9 4 10 +0 +3.7 31
8 Girona 23 9 4 10 -2 -0.4 31
9 Osasuna 22 7 9 6 -4 -7.5 30
10 Mallorca 22 9 3 10 -9 -1.8 30
11 Betis 23 7 8 8 -4 +2.3 29
12 Celta 23 8 4 11 -3 +5.3 28
13 Sevilla 23 7 7 9 -9 -4.5 28
14 Getafe 23 6 9 8 +1 -4.7 27
15 Las Palmas 23 6 5 12 -10 -21.4 23
16 Espanol 23 6 5 12 -13 -18.2 23
17 Leganes 23 5 8 10 -13 -22.1 23
18 Valencia 23 5 7 11 -13 -8.6 22
19 Alaves 23 5 6 12 -10 -2.9 21
20 Valladolid 23 4 3 16 -33 -22.0 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Osasuna
35′
🟨 Lucas Torró
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Iker Muñoz
↦ Lucas Torró
60′
🔁 Moi Gómez
↦ Juan Cruz
60′
🔁 Abel Bretones
↦ Bryan Zaragoza
T. Asano 🔁
↦ Darder
67′
79′
🟨 Alejandro Catena
1–0 V. Muriqi
81′
Miquel Salas 🔁
↦ Robert Navarro
82′
Abdón Prats 🔁
↦ V. Muriqi
82′
86′
🟨 Aimar Oroz
86′
🟨 Flavien Boyomo
86′
🔁 José Arnáiz
↦ Moncayola
Copete 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
89′
89′
🔁 Kike Barja
↦ Rubén García
Pablo Maffeo 🟨
90′
94′
E. Boyomo 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif G
23 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
22 J. Mojica D
5 Omar Mascarell M
12 Samú Costa M
27 Robert Navarro M
14 Dani Rodríguez M
10 Darder M
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (11)
11 T. Asano
28 Miquel Salas
9 Abdón Prats
6 Copete
25 Iván Cuéllar
17 C. Larin
16 Valery
32 David López
13 Leo Román
2 Mateu Morey
20 Chiquinho

Coach: Arrasate

Osasuna

4-1-4-1
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 Jesús Areso D
22 E. Boyomo D
24 Catena D
3 Juan Cruz D
6 Lucas Torró M
14 Rubén García M
7 Moncayola M
10 Aimar Oroz M
19 Bryan Zaragoza M
17 A. Budimir F
Bench (11)
18 Iker Muñoz
16 Moi Gómez
23 Abel Bretones
20 José Arnáiz
11 Kike Barja
5 Jorge Herrando
4 Unai García
8 Pablo Ibáñez
31 Pablo Valencia
15 Rubén Peña
13 Aitor Fernández

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,15
B
4,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,76
U2,5 ✓
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.