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Premier League
Referee: A Taylor
Tottenham
S S U S S
2–0
Full-time
Fulham
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
75%
38%
Points per game
2,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,53 xG 1,03
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 4. · Fulham 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 9 7 0 2 +12 +9.7 21
2 Arsenal 9 6 3 0 +10 +8.2 21
3 Liverpool 9 6 2 1 +11 +7.5 20
4 Tottenham 8 6 2 0 +10 +4.0 20
5 Aston Villa 9 6 1 2 +10 +3.3 19
6 Newcastle 9 5 1 3 +15 +10.4 16
7 Brighton 9 5 1 3 +4 +2.6 16
8 Man United 9 5 0 4 -2 +0.2 15
9 West Ham 9 4 2 3 +0 -4.9 14
10 Chelsea 9 3 3 3 +4 +7.3 12
11 Crystal Palace 9 3 3 3 -4 -3.0 12
12 Wolves 9 3 2 4 -4 -3.2 11
13 Fulham 8 3 2 3 -5 -7.0 11
14 Brentford 9 2 4 3 +2 +6.4 10
15 Nott'm Forest 9 2 4 3 -2 -1.8 10
16 Everton 9 2 1 6 -5 +2.4 7
17 Luton 9 1 2 6 -9 -6.4 5
18 Burnley 9 1 1 7 -16 -10.7 4
19 Bournemouth 9 0 3 6 -14 -11.5 3
20 Sheffield United 9 0 1 8 -17 -13.4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Fulham
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 🟨
35′
1–0 Son Heung-Min
Richarlison
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Jiménez
↦ Carlos Vinícius
46′
🔁 A. Iwobi
↦ Andreas Pereira
2–0 J. Maddison
Son Heung-Min
54′
Emerson Royal 🔁
↦ D. Udogie
56′
O. Skipp 🔁
↦ P. Sarr
62′
62′
🔁 H. Wilson
↦ B. De Cordova-Reid
72′
🔁 H. Reed
↦ S. Lukić
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ Richarlison
81′
A. Véliz 🔁
↦ J. Maddison
82′
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ Son Heung-Min
82′
82′
🔁 T. Cairney
↦ João Palhinha
Guglielmo Vicario 🟨
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
13 G. Vicario G
23 Pedro Porro D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
38 D. Udogie D
29 P. Sarr M
5 P. Højbjerg M
21 D. Kulusevski M
10 J. Maddison M
9 Richarlison M
7 Son Heung-Min F
Bench (9)
12 Emerson Royal
4 O. Skipp
22 B. Johnson
36 A. Véliz
18 G. Lo Celso
11 Bryan Gil
20 F. Forster
35 A. Phillips
15 E. Dier

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Fulham

4-2-3-1
17 B. Leno G
21 T. Castagne D
3 C. Bassey D
13 T. Ream D
33 A. Robinson D
28 S. Lukić M
26 João Palhinha M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
18 Andreas Pereira M
20 Willian M
30 Carlos Vinícius F
Bench (9)
7 R. Jiménez
22 A. Iwobi
8 H. Wilson
6 H. Reed
10 T. Cairney
1 M. Rodák
12 F. Ballo-Touré
19 Rodrigo Muniz
44 L. De Fougerolles

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,70
B
5,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.