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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Cadiz
T T T U U
0–1
Full-time
Sevilla
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
11%
61%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
39%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,6
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25% Possession 75%
9 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 19. · Sevilla 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 20 14 4 2 +24 46
2 Sevilla 18 11 5 2 +16 38
3 Betis 19 10 3 6 +9 33
4 Ath Madrid 19 9 5 5 +9 32
5 Barcelona 19 8 7 4 +8 31
6 Vallecano 19 9 3 7 +6 30
7 Sociedad 19 8 6 5 +0 30
8 Villarreal 19 7 7 5 +11 28
9 Valencia 19 7 7 5 +3 28
10 Ath Bilbao 20 6 9 5 +3 27
11 Espanol 19 7 5 7 +0 26
12 Celta 19 6 5 8 +0 23
13 Granada 19 5 8 6 -3 23
14 Osasuna 19 5 7 7 -7 22
15 Mallorca 19 4 8 7 -11 20
16 Getafe 19 4 6 9 -7 18
17 Elche 19 3 7 9 -9 16
18 Alaves 19 4 4 11 -14 16
19 Cadiz 18 2 8 8 -16 14
20 Levante 19 0 8 11 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Sevilla
Half-time 0–0
Álex 🔁
↦ Martín Calderón
55′
F. Andone 🔁
↦ M. Osmajić
55′
55′
🔁 K. Rekik
↦ Fernando
58′
L. Ocampos 0–1
I. Rakitić
Isaac Carcelén 🔁
↦ Víctor Chust
62′
Alejo 🔁
↦ J. Jønsson
62′
71′
🔁 M. El-Haddadi
↦ Iván Romero
Sobrino 🔁
↦ Iván Chapela
78′
79′
🟨 Ludwig Augustinsson
86′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ A. Gómez
86′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ L. Augustinsson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ledesma G
5 V. Haroyan D
15 Carlos Akapo D
22 A. Espino D
32 Víctor Chust D
2 J. Jønsson M
28 Martín Calderón M
12 T. Alarcón M
29 M. Osmajić F
18 Álvaro Negredo M
27 Iván Chapela M
Bench (9)
8 Álex
17 F. Andone
20 Isaac Carcelén
14 Alejo
21 Sobrino
11 Álvaro Jiménez
30 Álvaro Bastida
13 David Gil
26 J. Flere

Coach: Álvaro

Sevilla

3-1-4-2
13 Y. Bounou G
3 L. Augustinsson M
19 M. Acuña D
20 Diego Carlos D
10 I. Rakitić M
24 A. Gómez F
25 Fernando M
6 N. Gudelj D
5 L. Ocampos M
8 Joan Jordán M
36 Iván Romero F
Bench (11)
4 K. Rekik
11 M. El-Haddadi
21 Óliver Torres
14 Óscar Rodríguez
27 Luismi Cruz
22 O. Idrissi
42 V. Fattore
1 M. Dmitrović
32 Juanlu
43 Nacho Quintana
31 Javi Díaz

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,89
U
3,37
B ✓
1,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,44
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.